Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 15/09, 23:15

Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs The Strongest

Team pages: Academia de Balompie Boliviano · The Strongest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Academia de Balompie Boliviano1.3

The Strongest2.09

1X2

23% 23% 55%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Draw The Strongest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLDLWL

The Strongest 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–3 The Strongest (3 last)

The Strongest3-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-2The Strongest
The Strongest3-2Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1398 · The Strongest 1565

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Draw	The Strongest
Our model	23%	23%	55%
Market	23%	23%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1398 vs 1565).
H2H favours The Strongest: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	The Strongest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.10

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
X	3.80 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.15 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +15’	2.90	3.80	2.15
16:02 +6’	4.10▲	4.10▲	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–0–3 The Strongest

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	3-1 HT 1-1	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
02/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-2 HT 1-1	The Strongest
27/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	3-2 HT 2-1	Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	19	13	3	3	50	20	42
2	Always Ready	19	12	6	1	43	13	42
3	The Strongest	19	11	6	2	37	21	39
4	Club Aurora	19	7	9	3	30	24	30
5	Real Potosi	19	7	8	4	25	14	29
6	Oriente Petrolero	19	8	3	8	34	27	27
7	Nacional Potosi	19	8	3	8	30	24	27
8	Blooming	19	6	8	5	29	21	26
9	Guabira	19	7	5	7	29	38	26
10	Independiente Petrolero	19	7	4	8	26	32	25
11	Real Oruro	19	6	3	10	32	48	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	19	6	2	11	30	43	20
13	Universitario De Vinto	19	5	2	12	25	38	17
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	19	5	2	12	18	39	17
15	Real Tomayapo	19	4	4	11	15	37	16
16	GV San Jose	19	2	8	9	19	33	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	The Strongest
Blooming	1-6 L	1-1 D
Universitario De Vinto	2-0 W	4-3 W
GV San Jose	2-2 D	0-0 D
Nacional Potosi	0-2 L	3-2 W
Guabira	0-1 L	1-3 L
Real Oruro	4-1 W	5-0 W
Real Tomayapo	1-1 D	3-1 W
Club Aurora	2-3 L	1-1 D
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: The Strongest (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

LLDWLLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-6	3	4	L
04/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	0	4	W
28/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
22/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
07/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
04/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-1	5	4	W
01/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
25/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	4	10	L
20/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	4	L

The Strongest

DDDWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	8	2	W
07/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	10	4	W
26/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
22/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	4-3	3	5	W
15/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
06/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	3-2	1	4	W
31/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs The Strongest?

According to our model, the most likely result is an The Strongest win (55%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 23%, draw 23%, The Strongest 55%.

How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs The Strongest?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1.3 · The Strongest 2.09), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs The Strongest?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.