Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 18/09, 02:30

Prediction: Bolivar vs GV San Jose

Team pages: Bolivar · GV San Jose

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

Bolivar3.02

GV San Jose1.02

1X2

80% 12% 8%

Bolivar Draw GV San Jose

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Bolivar 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWW

GV San Jose 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Bolivar 5–1 GV San Jose (6 last)

GV San Jose0-1Bolivar
GV San Jose1-2Bolivar
GV San Jose0-2Bolivar
Bolivar1-3GV San Jose
Bolivar7-1GV San Jose
GV San Jose1-2Bolivar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bolivar 1625 · GV San Jose 1422

	Bolivar	Draw	GV San Jose
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	83%	10%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar (rating 1625 vs 1422).
H2H favours Bolivar: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bolivar	GV San Jose
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.13

X9.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.82

2 (+2.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 1.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.13▲	Bet365 1.13
X	9.50 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00
2	15.00 → 13.00▼	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:17	1.10	9.50	15.00
19:31 +8’	1.13▲	9.00▼	13.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar 5–0–1 GV San Jose

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	GV San Jose	0-1 HT 0-0	Bolivar
03/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	1-2 HT 1-0	Bolivar
28/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	0-2 HT 0-1	Bolivar
08/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Bolivar	1-3 HT 1-1	GV San Jose
22/02/25 America Friendlies	Bolivar	7-1 HT 2-1	GV San Jose
16/02/25 America Friendlies	GV San Jose	1-2 HT 0-1	Bolivar

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	19	13	3	3	50	20	42
2	Always Ready	19	12	6	1	43	13	42
3	The Strongest	19	11	6	2	37	21	39
4	Club Aurora	19	7	9	3	30	24	30
5	Real Potosi	19	7	8	4	25	14	29
6	Oriente Petrolero	19	8	3	8	34	27	27
7	Nacional Potosi	19	8	3	8	30	24	27
8	Blooming	19	6	8	5	29	21	26
9	Guabira	19	7	5	7	29	38	26
10	Independiente Petrolero	19	7	4	8	26	32	25
11	Real Oruro	19	6	3	10	32	48	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	19	6	2	11	30	43	20
13	Universitario De Vinto	19	5	2	12	25	38	17
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	19	5	2	12	18	39	17
15	Real Tomayapo	19	4	4	11	15	37	16
16	GV San Jose	19	2	8	9	19	33	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bolivar	GV San Jose
Independiente Petrolero	4-0 W	0-1 L
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	4-1 W	2-2 D
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4-1 W	0-0 D
Club Aurora	4-2 W	0-3 L
Oriente Petrolero	2-1 W	3-3 D
Always Ready	0-1 L	2-3 L
Real Potosi	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bolivar (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bolivar

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
06/09	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	4-0	4	6	W
28/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	4-1	5	3	W
23/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	4-2	6	5	W
15/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	4-1	6	3	W
09/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	4-2	4	6	W
06/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	13	5	W
02/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
26/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
18/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	5	2	W

GV San Jose

DWDDLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	0-3	5	4	L
25/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	2	9	D
22/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
17/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
05/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
02/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
19/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bolivar vs GV San Jose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bolivar win (80%). Probabilities: Bolivar 80%, draw 12%, GV San Jose 8%.

How many goals are expected in Bolivar vs GV San Jose?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Bolivar 3.02 · GV San Jose 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bolivar vs GV San Jose?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.