Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 17/09, 02:30

Prediction: Blooming vs Universitario De Vinto

Team pages: Blooming · Universitario De Vinto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Blooming2.05

Universitario De Vinto1

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Blooming Draw Universitario De Vinto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Blooming 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLWDDLW

Universitario De Vinto 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Blooming 4–2–0 Universitario De Vinto (6 last)

Universitario De Vinto1-1Blooming
Blooming3-1Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto0-0Blooming
Blooming1-0Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto1-2Blooming
Blooming1-0Universitario De Vinto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blooming 1495 · Universitario De Vinto 1415

	Blooming	Draw	Universitario De Vinto
Our model	61%	23%	17%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blooming (rating 1495 vs 1415).
H2H favours Blooming: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blooming	Universitario De Vinto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.6	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +1’	1.50	4.33	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Blooming 4–2–0 Universitario De Vinto

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	1-1 HT 0-1	Blooming
16/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Blooming	3-1 HT 2-1	Universitario De Vinto
14/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Universitario De Vinto	0-0 HT 0-0	Blooming
24/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Blooming	1-0 HT 0-0	Universitario De Vinto
12/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	1-2 HT 0-1	Blooming
27/11/24 Bolivia Clausura	Blooming	1-0 HT 0-0	Universitario De Vinto

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	19	13	3	3	50	20	42
2	Always Ready	19	12	6	1	43	13	42
3	The Strongest	19	11	6	2	37	21	39
4	Club Aurora	19	7	9	3	30	24	30
5	Real Potosi	19	7	8	4	25	14	29
6	Oriente Petrolero	19	8	3	8	34	27	27
7	Nacional Potosi	19	8	3	8	30	24	27
8	Blooming	19	6	8	5	29	21	26
9	Guabira	19	7	5	7	29	38	26
10	Independiente Petrolero	19	7	4	8	26	32	25
11	Real Oruro	19	6	3	10	32	48	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	19	6	2	11	30	43	20
13	Universitario De Vinto	19	5	2	12	25	38	17
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	19	5	2	12	18	39	17
15	Real Tomayapo	19	4	4	11	15	37	16
16	GV San Jose	19	2	8	9	19	33	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blooming	Universitario De Vinto
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	6-1 W	0-2 L
Nacional Potosi	1-2 L	2-0 W
Guabira	1-1 D	1-1 D
Real Potosi	0-2 L	0-2 L
Always Ready	0-0 D	0-4 L
The Strongest	1-1 D	3-4 L
Real Tomayapo	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Blooming (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blooming

WDLDLWDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	6-1	6	4	W
07/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
27/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
23/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	2	9	W
09/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
07/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
01/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

Universitario De Vinto

LLDLLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	7	6	W
04/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
22/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	3-4	5	5	L
14/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
10/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
06/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	7	6	L
31/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	13	2	D
27/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-4	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blooming vs Universitario De Vinto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blooming win (61%). Probabilities: Blooming 61%, draw 22%, Universitario De Vinto 17%.

How many goals are expected in Blooming vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Blooming 2.05 · Universitario De Vinto 1), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Blooming vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.