Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 19/09, 01:00

Prediction: Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Team pages: Independiente Petrolero · San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Independiente Petrolero2.1

San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.25

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Independiente Petrolero Draw San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente Petrolero 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWLWLL

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Independiente Petrolero 1–1–4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (6 last)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo2-2Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3-1Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero1-3San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Independiente Petrolero4-2San Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo4-2Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3-1Independiente Petrolero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Petrolero 1473 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1477

	Independiente Petrolero	Draw	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Our model	56%	23%	21%
Market	56%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Antonio Bulo Bulo: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente Petrolero	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.6	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:18 +5’	1.65	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Petrolero 1–1–4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-2 HT 1-1	Independiente Petrolero
27/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3-1 HT 1-0	Independiente Petrolero
12/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Independiente Petrolero	1-3 HT 0-1	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
20/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Independiente Petrolero	4-2 HT 1-1	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
02/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4-2 HT 3-1	Independiente Petrolero
12/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3-1 HT 3-0	Independiente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	19	13	3	3	50	20	42
2	Always Ready	19	12	6	1	43	13	42
3	The Strongest	19	11	6	2	37	21	39
4	Club Aurora	19	7	9	3	30	24	30
5	Real Potosi	19	7	8	4	25	14	29
6	Oriente Petrolero	19	8	3	8	34	27	27
7	Nacional Potosi	19	8	3	8	30	24	27
8	Blooming	19	6	8	5	29	21	26
9	Guabira	19	7	5	7	29	38	26
10	Independiente Petrolero	19	7	4	8	26	32	25
11	Real Oruro	19	6	3	10	32	48	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	19	6	2	11	30	43	20
13	Universitario De Vinto	19	5	2	12	25	38	17
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	19	5	2	12	18	39	17
15	Real Tomayapo	19	4	4	11	15	37	16
16	GV San Jose	19	2	8	9	19	33	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente Petrolero	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivar	0-4 L	1-4 L
Nacional Potosi	0-3 L	2-1 W
GV San Jose	1-0 W	0-0 D
The Strongest	2-1 W	0-3 L
Club Aurora	1-1 D	0-2 L
Real Oruro	3-0 W	0-2 L
Oriente Petrolero	1-2 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Petrolero (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente Petrolero

LLWDWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
06/09	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-4	0	6	L
28/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
23/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
17/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
08/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
05/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
01/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
26/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
22/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	2	L

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

WLWDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-2	2	5	L
04/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
26/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
22/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	9	5	L
15/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
08/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
05/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
01/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
20/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	0	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Petrolero win (56%). Probabilities: Independiente Petrolero 56%, draw 23%, San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Independiente Petrolero 2.1 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.