Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 17/09, 00:00

Prediction: Nacional Potosi vs Always Ready

Team pages: Nacional Potosi · Always Ready

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Nacional Potosi1.38

Always Ready1.68

1X2

31% 26% 44%

Nacional Potosi Draw Always Ready

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Nacional Potosi 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWLWW

Always Ready 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDDDWW

Head-to-head

Nacional Potosi 0–1–5 Always Ready (6 last)

Always Ready3-1Nacional Potosi
Always Ready1-0Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi0-1Always Ready
Nacional Potosi1-2Always Ready
Always Ready2-1Nacional Potosi
Always Ready2-2Nacional Potosi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacional Potosi 1524 · Always Ready 1582

	Nacional Potosi	Draw	Always Ready
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	31%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Always Ready (rating 1524 vs 1582).
H2H favours Always Ready: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacional Potosi	Always Ready
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	2.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:36 +1’	3.00	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Potosi 0–1–5 Always Ready

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	3-1 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi
04/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	1-0 HT 1-0	Nacional Potosi
28/03/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	0-1 HT 0-1	Always Ready
20/10/24 Bolivia Clausura	Nacional Potosi	1-2 HT 1-1	Always Ready
24/05/24 Bolivia Clausura	Always Ready	2-1 HT 0-1	Nacional Potosi
25/10/23 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Always Ready	2-2 HT 0-1	Nacional Potosi

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	19	13	3	3	50	20	42
2	Always Ready	19	12	6	1	43	13	42
3	The Strongest	19	11	6	2	37	21	39
4	Club Aurora	19	7	9	3	30	24	30
5	Real Potosi	19	7	8	4	25	14	29
6	Oriente Petrolero	19	8	3	8	34	27	27
7	Nacional Potosi	19	8	3	8	30	24	27
8	Blooming	19	6	8	5	29	21	26
9	Guabira	19	7	5	7	29	38	26
10	Independiente Petrolero	19	7	4	8	26	32	25
11	Real Oruro	19	6	3	10	32	48	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	19	6	2	11	30	43	20
13	Universitario De Vinto	19	5	2	12	25	38	17
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	19	5	2	12	18	39	17
15	Real Tomayapo	19	4	4	11	15	37	16
16	GV San Jose	19	2	8	9	19	33	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacional Potosi	Always Ready
GV San Jose	3-0 W	3-2 W
Blooming	2-1 W	0-0 D
Universitario De Vinto	0-2 L	4-0 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1-2 L	3-1 W
Oriente Petrolero	0-1 L	2-1 W
Real Tomayapo	4-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nacional Potosi

LWLLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
07/09	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
23/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
16/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
08/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
06/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
03/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
27/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
21/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-4	4	4	L

Always Ready

WWWDWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	5-0	6-0	4	1	W
06/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
27/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-2	0	7	D
24/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
16/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
07/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
02/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
25/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
18/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	4-0	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacional Potosi vs Always Ready?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Always Ready win (44%). Probabilities: Nacional Potosi 31%, draw 26%, Always Ready 44%.

How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosi vs Always Ready?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Nacional Potosi 1.38 · Always Ready 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacional Potosi vs Always Ready?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.