Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 04/09, 21:00

Prediction: Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Team pages: Real Oruro · San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

Real Oruro2.49

San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.73

1X2

53% 22% 25%

Real Oruro Draw San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Oruro 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWLLD

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDWLLL

Head-to-head

Real Oruro 1–4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (5 last)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo2-1Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo5-3Real Oruro
Real Oruro0-2San Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo5-0Real Oruro
Real Oruro2-1San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Oruro 1428 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1475

	Real Oruro	Draw	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Our model	54%	20%	26%
Market	53%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Antonio Bulo Bulo (rating 1428 vs 1475).
H2H favours San Antonio Bulo Bulo: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Oruro	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.8	0.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.5	3.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:36 +3’	1.75	4.00	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 1–0–4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-1 HT 0-1	Real Oruro
15/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5-3 HT 2-2	Real Oruro
20/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Oruro	0-2 HT 0-0	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
10/11/23 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5-0 HT 0-0	Real Oruro
04/11/23 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar	Real Oruro	2-1 HT 1-0	San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
2	Always Ready	17	10	6	1	35	12	36
3	The Strongest	17	9	6	2	29	20	33
4	Oriente Petrolero	17	8	3	6	32	23	27
5	Real Potosi	17	6	7	4	22	12	25
6	Independiente Petrolero	17	7	4	6	25	25	25
7	Guabira	17	7	4	6	28	31	25
8	Club Aurora	17	5	9	3	25	24	24
9	Blooming	17	5	8	4	22	18	23
10	Nacional Potosi	17	6	3	8	25	23	21
11	Real Oruro	17	5	3	9	30	43	18
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	17	5	2	10	27	37	17
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	17	5	2	10	18	35	17
14	Real Tomayapo	17	4	4	9	13	32	16
15	GV San Jose	17	2	8	7	19	27	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	17	4	2	11	22	35	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Oruro	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Blooming	1-1 D	2-0 W
Bolivar	2-4 L	1-4 L
Oriente Petrolero	2-3 L	0-4 L
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-4 L	2-1 W
Guabira	1-4 L	1-2 L
Nacional Potosi	4-1 W	2-1 W
Always Ready	0-6 L	1-3 L
GV San Jose	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Oruro

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
15/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	2-3	2-3	6	4	L
08/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
04/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
01/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-3	3	6	L
25/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	5	5	L
21/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
15/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	0-6	4	4	L
11/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	3-1	6	9	W

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
22/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	9	5	L
15/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
08/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
05/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
01/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
20/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	0	4	W
16/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	3	3	L
29/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	13	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Oruro win (53%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 53%, draw 22%, San Antonio Bulo Bulo 25%.

How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo?

The model expects 4.21 goals (Real Oruro 2.49 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1.73), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.