Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/09, 21:00
Prediction: GV San Jose vs Nacional Potosi
Team pages: GV San Jose · Nacional Potosi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
GV San Jose1.52
Nacional Potosi1.31
1X2
GV San Jose
Draw
Nacional Potosi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
GV San Jose
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Nacional Potosi
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
GV San Jose
4–1–1
Nacional Potosi
(6 last)
- Nacional Potosi1-1GV San Jose
- GV San Jose3-1Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi3-0GV San Jose
- Nacional Potosi1-2GV San Jose
- GV San Jose1-0Nacional Potosi
- GV San Jose2-1Nacional Potosi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GV San Jose 1467 · Nacional Potosi 1516
| GV San Jose | Draw | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional Potosi (rating 1467 vs 1516).
- H2H favours GV San Jose: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GV San Jose | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GV San Jose 4–1–1 Nacional Potosi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Nacional Potosi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | GV San Jose |
| 26/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | GV San Jose | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 18/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Nacional Potosi | 3-0 HT 2-0 | GV San Jose |
| 24/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Nacional Potosi | 1-2 HT 1-0 | GV San Jose |
| 01/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | GV San Jose | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 09/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | GV San Jose | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Nacional Potosi |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 39 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 36 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 27 |
| 5 | Club Aurora | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Potosi | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 26 |
| 7 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 32 | 26 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 25 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 24 |
| 10 | Blooming | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 17 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 16 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 14 |
| 16 | Universitario De Vinto | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | GV San Jose | Nacional Potosi |
|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Independiente Petrolero | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Real Potosi | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| The Strongest | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Blooming | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 6 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: GV San Jose (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GV San Jose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 22/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/07 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
Nacional Potosi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GV San Jose vs Nacional Potosi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a GV San Jose win (42%). Probabilities: GV San Jose 42%, draw 26%, Nacional Potosi 32%.
How many goals are expected in GV San Jose vs Nacional Potosi?
The model expects 2.83 goals (GV San Jose 1.52 · Nacional Potosi 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in GV San Jose vs Nacional Potosi?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.