Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 13/09, 01:30

Prediction: Blooming vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Team pages: Blooming · Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Blooming2.37

Academia de Balompie Boliviano0.99

1X2

67% 20% 13%

Blooming Draw Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Blooming 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLWDDL

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLDLW

Head-to-head

Blooming 1–1–1 Academia de Balompie Boliviano (3 last)

Academia de Balompie Boliviano3-2Blooming
Blooming6-0Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-1Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blooming 1475 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1432

	Blooming	Draw	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Our model	67%	19%	13%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blooming (rating 1475 vs 1432).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blooming	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.7	4.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.38▲	Bet365 1.38
X	5.25 → 4.75▼	Pinn 5.53 ★
2	8.50 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:12 +1’	1.28	5.25	8.50
02:50 +15’	1.18▼	6.50▲	11.00▲
17:53 +2’	1.20▲	7.00▲	11.00
03:10 +12’	1.18▼	7.00	13.00▲
11:59 +18’	1.38▲	4.75▼	7.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:00 +82’	1.23	5.97	7.12
07:38 +13’	1.31▲	5.55▼	5.96▼
11:27 +51’	1.34▲	5.35▼	5.51▼
14:03 +214’	1.32▼	5.53▲	5.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blooming 1–1–1 Academia de Balompie Boliviano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	3-2 HT 1-1	Blooming
03/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Blooming	6-0 HT 4-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
30/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-1 HT 0-1	Blooming

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Always Ready	18	11	6	1	37	13	39
3	The Strongest	18	10	6	2	32	21	36
4	Club Aurora	19	7	9	3	30	24	30
5	Real Potosi	19	7	8	4	25	14	29
6	Oriente Petrolero	19	8	3	8	34	27	27
7	Guabira	18	7	5	6	29	32	26
8	Independiente Petrolero	18	7	4	7	25	29	25
9	Nacional Potosi	18	7	3	8	27	24	24
10	Blooming	18	5	8	5	23	20	23
11	Real Oruro	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	18	6	2	10	29	37	20
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	19	5	2	12	18	39	17
14	Real Tomayapo	18	4	4	10	14	35	16
15	GV San Jose	18	2	8	8	19	30	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	18	4	2	12	22	37	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blooming	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Nacional Potosi	1-2 L	0-2 L
Real Oruro	1-1 D	4-1 W
Guabira	1-1 D	0-1 L
Club Aurora	3-0 W	2-3 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0-2 L	1-2 L
Real Tomayapo	1-0 W	1-1 D
GV San Jose	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Blooming (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blooming

DWDLDLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
27/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
23/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	2	9	W
09/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
07/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
01/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
15/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	8	D

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

WLLDWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	0	4	W
28/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
22/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
07/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
04/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-1	5	4	W
01/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
25/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	4	10	L
20/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
16/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blooming vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blooming win (67%). Probabilities: Blooming 67%, draw 20%, Academia de Balompie Boliviano 13%.

How many goals are expected in Blooming vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Blooming 2.37 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Blooming vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.