Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/09, 23:15
Prediction: The Strongest vs Real Oruro
Team pages: The Strongest · Real Oruro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.13Total
The Strongest3.02
Real Oruro1.11
1X2
The Strongest
Draw
Real Oruro
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
The Strongest
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Real Oruro
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Strongest
4–1–1
Real Oruro
(6 last)
- Real Oruro2-3The Strongest
- The Strongest4-1Real Oruro
- Real Oruro1-1The Strongest
- The Strongest2-1Real Oruro
- The Strongest0-1Real Oruro
- Real Oruro1-2The Strongest
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Strongest 1571 · Real Oruro 1403
| The Strongest | Draw | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1571 vs 1403).
- H2H favours The Strongest: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Strongest | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 4–1–1 Real Oruro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 2-3 HT 2-1 | The Strongest |
| 25/03/26 America Friendlies | The Strongest | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Real Oruro |
| 15/03/26 America Friendlies | Real Oruro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | The Strongest |
| 22/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Real Oruro |
| 04/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Oruro |
| 14/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 1-2 HT 1-0 | The Strongest |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 39 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 36 |
| 4 | Club Aurora | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 29 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 27 | 27 |
| 7 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 32 | 26 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 25 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 24 |
| 10 | Blooming | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 17 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 16 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 14 |
| 16 | Universitario De Vinto | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Strongest | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Guabira | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Independiente Petrolero | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Blooming | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Oriente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: The Strongest (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/08 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/07 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/08 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Real Oruro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (75%). Probabilities: The Strongest 75%, draw 15%, Real Oruro 10%.
How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Real Oruro?
The model expects 4.13 goals (The Strongest 3.02 · Real Oruro 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Real Oruro?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.