Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 13/09, 23:15
Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero
Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · Independiente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Universitario De Vinto1.76
Independiente Petrolero1.27
1X2
Universitario De Vinto
Draw
Independiente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Universitario De Vinto
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Independiente Petrolero
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universitario De Vinto
2–1–3
Independiente Petrolero
(6 last)
- Independiente Petrolero2-1Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto2-3Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero0-1Universitario De Vinto
- Independiente Petrolero1-1Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto3-0Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero3-2Universitario De Vinto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1385 · Independiente Petrolero 1498
| Universitario De Vinto | Draw | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Petrolero (rating 1385 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Independiente Petrolero: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario De Vinto | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 6 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario De Vinto 2–1–3 Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 10/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 16/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Independiente Petrolero | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 12/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 24/06/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 10/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | Independiente Petrolero | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Universitario De Vinto |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 39 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 21 | 39 |
| 4 | Club Aurora | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 30 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 29 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 27 | 27 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 24 | 27 |
| 8 | Blooming | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 26 |
| 9 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 32 | 26 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 48 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 43 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 17 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 16 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 14 |
| 16 | Universitario De Vinto | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universitario De Vinto | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| The Strongest | 3-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Oriente Petrolero | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Real Potosi | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Guabira | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| GV San Jose | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Real Oruro | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Petrolero (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 05/08 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/07 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario De Vinto win (48%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 48%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 27%.
How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.76 · Independiente Petrolero 1.27), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.