Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 13/09, 21:00

Prediction: Always Ready vs Guabira

Team pages: Always Ready · Guabira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Always Ready2.87

Guabira0.87

1X2

78% 14% 8%

Always Ready Draw Guabira

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Always Ready 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWDDDW

Guabira 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWWDLD

Head-to-head

Always Ready 4–2 Guabira (6 last)

Guabira1-2Always Ready
Always Ready6-0Guabira
Always Ready4-0Guabira
Guabira3-2Always Ready
Guabira5-0Always Ready
Always Ready5-0Guabira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Always Ready 1630 · Guabira 1489

	Always Ready	Draw	Guabira
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Always Ready (rating 1630 vs 1489).
H2H favours Always Ready: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Always Ready	Guabira
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.7	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.95

2 (+2.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:48 +6’	1.17	7.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Always Ready 4–0–2 Guabira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Guabira	1-2 HT 0-0	Always Ready
12/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	6-0 HT 2-0	Guabira
31/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Always Ready	4-0 HT 1-0	Guabira
03/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Guabira	3-2 HT 0-1	Always Ready
12/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Guabira	5-0 HT 3-0	Always Ready
01/03/25 America Friendlies	Always Ready	5-0 HT 2-0	Guabira

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Always Ready	18	11	6	1	37	13	39
3	The Strongest	18	10	6	2	32	21	36
4	Oriente Petrolero	18	8	3	7	33	25	27
5	Club Aurora	18	6	9	3	28	24	27
6	Real Potosi	18	6	8	4	23	13	26
7	Guabira	18	7	5	6	29	32	26
8	Independiente Petrolero	18	7	4	7	25	29	25
9	Nacional Potosi	18	7	3	8	27	24	24
10	Blooming	18	5	8	5	23	20	23
11	Real Oruro	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	18	6	2	10	29	37	20
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	18	5	2	11	18	37	17
14	Real Tomayapo	18	4	4	10	14	35	16
15	GV San Jose	18	2	8	8	19	30	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	18	4	2	12	22	37	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Always Ready	Guabira
Real Tomayapo	1-1 D	3-0 W
Real Potosi	1-1 D	1-1 D
Blooming	0-0 D	1-1 D
Bolivar	1-0 W	0-4 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3-1 W	2-1 W
Universitario De Vinto	4-0 W	1-1 D
Real Oruro	6-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Always Ready (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Always Ready

WWWWDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
27/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-2	0	7	D
24/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
16/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
07/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
02/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
25/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
18/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	4-0	9	0	W
15/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	6-0	5	4	W

Guabira

WLWDWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
28/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
23/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
15/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
07/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
05/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	15	8	W
31/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
25/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	5	W
18/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
29/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Always Ready vs Guabira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Always Ready win (78%). Probabilities: Always Ready 78%, draw 14%, Guabira 8%.

How many goals are expected in Always Ready vs Guabira?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Always Ready 2.87 · Guabira 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Always Ready vs Guabira?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.