Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 14/09, 01:30

Prediction: Real Tomayapo vs Bolivar

Team pages: Real Tomayapo · Bolivar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Real Tomayapo1.14

Bolivar2.51

1X2

15% 19% 66%

Real Tomayapo Draw Bolivar

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Tomayapo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLWDWL

Bolivar 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Real Tomayapo 1–1–4 Bolivar (6 last)

Bolivar6-0Real Tomayapo
Bolivar5-1Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo2-7Bolivar
Bolivar5-0Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo2-1Bolivar
Real Tomayapo2-2Bolivar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Tomayapo 1437 · Bolivar 1632

	Real Tomayapo	Draw	Bolivar
Our model	15%	19%	66%
Market	15%	19%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar (rating 1437 vs 1632).
H2H favours Bolivar: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Tomayapo	Bolivar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	2.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.6	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

16.25

X5.00

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.00

2 (-1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:56 +4’	6.25	5.00	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Tomayapo 1–1–4 Bolivar

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Bolivar	6-0 HT 2-0	Real Tomayapo
28/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Bolivar	5-1 HT 2-0	Real Tomayapo
22/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Tomayapo	2-7 HT 1-2	Bolivar
10/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Bolivar	5-0 HT 2-0	Real Tomayapo
06/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	2-1 HT 2-0	Bolivar
22/11/24 Bolivia Clausura	Real Tomayapo	2-2 HT 2-0	Bolivar

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Always Ready	18	11	6	1	37	13	39
3	The Strongest	18	10	6	2	32	21	36
4	Oriente Petrolero	18	8	3	7	33	25	27
5	Club Aurora	18	6	9	3	28	24	27
6	Real Potosi	18	6	8	4	23	13	26
7	Guabira	18	7	5	6	29	32	26
8	Independiente Petrolero	18	7	4	7	25	29	25
9	Nacional Potosi	18	7	3	8	27	24	24
10	Blooming	18	5	8	5	23	20	23
11	Real Oruro	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	18	6	2	10	29	37	20
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	18	5	2	11	18	37	17
14	Real Tomayapo	18	4	4	10	14	35	16
15	GV San Jose	18	2	8	8	19	30	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	18	4	2	12	22	37	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Tomayapo	Bolivar
The Strongest	1-3 L	1-1 D
Real Potosi	1-0 W	2-1 W
Always Ready	1-1 D	0-1 L
Real Oruro	1-2 L	4-2 W
Guabira	0-3 L	4-0 W
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-1 D	4-1 W
Independiente Petrolero	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bolivar (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Tomayapo

WLLDLLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-3	1	4	L
27/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
24/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
14/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
08/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
05/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
01/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
27/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	2	3	L
20/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
13/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	5	W

Bolivar

DWWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	4-0	4	6	W
28/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	4-1	5	3	W
23/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	4-2	6	5	W
15/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	4-1	6	3	W
09/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	4-2	4	6	W
06/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	13	5	W
02/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
26/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
18/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
12/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Tomayapo vs Bolivar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bolivar win (66%). Probabilities: Real Tomayapo 15%, draw 19%, Bolivar 66%.

How many goals are expected in Real Tomayapo vs Bolivar?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Real Tomayapo 1.14 · Bolivar 2.51), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Tomayapo vs Bolivar?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.