Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 07/09, 02:00

Prediction: Nacional Potosi vs Blooming

Team pages: Nacional Potosi · Blooming

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Nacional Potosi1.95

Blooming0.89

1X2

62% 23% 16%

Nacional Potosi Draw Blooming

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Nacional Potosi 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLWWL

Blooming 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDLWDD

Head-to-head

Nacional Potosi 2–2–2 Blooming (6 last)

Blooming2-1Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi3-0Blooming
Nacional Potosi0-0Blooming
Blooming0-0Nacional Potosi
Blooming2-0Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi4-2Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacional Potosi 1490 · Blooming 1475

	Nacional Potosi	Draw	Blooming
Our model	61%	23%	15%
Market	62%	22%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacional Potosi	Blooming
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.10

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.48▼	Bet365 1.48
X	3.75 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	3.90 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:19 +5’	1.75	3.75	3.90
02:17 +1’	1.48▼	4.10▲	5.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Potosi 2–2–2 Blooming

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Blooming	2-1 HT 2-0	Nacional Potosi
05/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	3-0 HT 2-0	Blooming
26/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Nacional Potosi	0-0 HT 0-0	Blooming
25/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Blooming	0-0 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi
01/05/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Blooming	2-0 HT 1-0	Nacional Potosi
30/11/24 Bolivia Clausura	Nacional Potosi	4-2 HT 3-2	Blooming

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
2	Always Ready	17	10	6	1	35	12	36
3	The Strongest	17	9	6	2	29	20	33
4	Oriente Petrolero	17	8	3	6	32	23	27
5	Real Potosi	17	6	7	4	22	12	25
6	Independiente Petrolero	17	7	4	6	25	25	25
7	Guabira	17	7	4	6	28	31	25
8	Club Aurora	17	5	9	3	25	24	24
9	Blooming	17	5	8	4	22	18	23
10	Nacional Potosi	17	6	3	8	25	23	21
11	Real Oruro	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	18	6	2	10	29	37	20
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	18	5	2	11	18	37	17
14	Real Tomayapo	17	4	4	9	13	32	16
15	GV San Jose	17	2	8	7	19	27	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	18	4	2	12	22	37	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacional Potosi	Blooming
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1-2 L	0-2 L
The Strongest	2-3 L	1-1 D
Oriente Petrolero	0-1 L	1-0 W
Real Tomayapo	4-1 W	1-0 W
Real Oruro	1-4 L	1-1 D
Real Potosi	1-1 D	0-2 L
Club Aurora	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Blooming (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nacional Potosi

WDLWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
23/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
16/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
08/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
06/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
03/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
27/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
21/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-4	4	4	L
12/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-0	2	3	W

Blooming

WDWDLDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
23/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	2	9	W
09/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
07/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
01/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
15/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
31/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacional Potosi vs Blooming?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional Potosi win (62%). Probabilities: Nacional Potosi 62%, draw 23%, Blooming 16%.

How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosi vs Blooming?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Nacional Potosi 1.95 · Blooming 0.89), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacional Potosi vs Blooming?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.