Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 15/09, 21:00

Prediction: Real Oruro vs Real Potosi

Team pages: Real Oruro · Real Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Real Oruro1.44

Real Potosi1.52

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Real Oruro Draw Real Potosi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Oruro 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDWL

Real Potosi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDDLDW

Head-to-head

Real Oruro 1–0 Real Potosi (1 last)

Real Potosi1-2Real Oruro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Oruro 1433 · Real Potosi 1519

	Real Oruro	Draw	Real Potosi
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Potosi (rating 1433 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Oruro	Real Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.6	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63
X	3.70 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +1’	3.00	3.70	2.10
19:28 +3’	2.63▼	3.60▼	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 1–0–0 Real Potosi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Potosi	1-2 HT 0-0	Real Oruro

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	19	13	3	3	50	20	42
2	Always Ready	19	12	6	1	43	13	42
3	The Strongest	19	11	6	2	37	21	39
4	Club Aurora	19	7	9	3	30	24	30
5	Real Potosi	19	7	8	4	25	14	29
6	Oriente Petrolero	19	8	3	8	34	27	27
7	Nacional Potosi	19	8	3	8	30	24	27
8	Blooming	19	6	8	5	29	21	26
9	Guabira	19	7	5	7	29	38	26
10	Independiente Petrolero	19	7	4	8	26	32	25
11	Real Oruro	19	6	3	10	32	48	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	19	6	2	11	30	43	20
13	Universitario De Vinto	19	5	2	12	25	38	17
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	19	5	2	12	18	39	17
15	Real Tomayapo	19	4	4	11	15	37	16
16	GV San Jose	19	2	8	9	19	33	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Oruro	Real Potosi
Blooming	1-1 D	2-0 W
Bolivar	2-4 L	1-2 L
Oriente Petrolero	2-3 L	2-1 W
Real Tomayapo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Independiente Petrolero	0-3 L	2-1 W
Guabira	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Oruro

WLLLWLLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
04/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
27/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
15/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	2-3	2-3	6	4	L
08/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
04/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
01/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-3	3	6	L
25/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	5	5	L
21/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	4-1	2	4	W

Real Potosi

WLDWWDDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	9	W
05/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
27/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
22/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
06/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs Real Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Potosi win (39%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 35%, draw 26%, Real Potosi 39%.

How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs Real Potosi?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Real Oruro 1.44 · Real Potosi 1.52), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs Real Potosi?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.