Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 04/09, 23:15

Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Universitario De Vinto

Team pages: Academia de Balompie Boliviano · Universitario De Vinto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Academia de Balompie Boliviano2.04

Universitario De Vinto1.23

1X2

55% 24% 22%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Draw Universitario De Vinto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLLDL

Universitario De Vinto 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLLW

Head-to-head

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1–1–3 Universitario De Vinto (5 last)

Universitario De Vinto5-2Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano0-0Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto3-0Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano2-0Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto2-0Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1422 · Universitario De Vinto 1426

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Draw	Universitario De Vinto
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Universitario De Vinto: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Universitario De Vinto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	0.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	2.2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.8	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:42 +5’	1.70	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1–1–3 Universitario De Vinto

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	5-2 HT 3-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
25/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	0-0 HT 0-0	Universitario De Vinto
11/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Universitario De Vinto	3-0 HT 1-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
25/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	2-0 HT 1-0	Universitario De Vinto
10/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	2-0 HT 1-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
2	Always Ready	17	10	6	1	35	12	36
3	The Strongest	17	9	6	2	29	20	33
4	Oriente Petrolero	17	8	3	6	32	23	27
5	Real Potosi	17	6	7	4	22	12	25
6	Independiente Petrolero	17	7	4	6	25	25	25
7	Guabira	17	7	4	6	28	31	25
8	Club Aurora	17	5	9	3	25	24	24
9	Blooming	17	5	8	4	22	18	23
10	Nacional Potosi	17	6	3	8	25	23	21
11	Real Oruro	17	5	3	9	30	43	18
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	17	5	2	10	27	37	17
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	17	5	2	10	18	35	17
14	Real Tomayapo	17	4	4	9	13	32	16
15	GV San Jose	17	2	8	7	19	27	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	17	4	2	11	22	35	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Universitario De Vinto
GV San Jose	2-2 D	1-2 L
Nacional Potosi	0-2 L	2-0 W
Guabira	0-1 L	1-1 D
Real Oruro	4-1 W	1-4 L
Real Tomayapo	1-1 D	0-1 L
Club Aurora	2-3 L	1-2 L
Real Potosi	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Academia de Balompie Boliviano (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

LWLLDWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
22/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
07/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
04/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-1	5	4	W
01/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
25/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	4	10	L
20/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
16/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
09/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	8	7	L

Universitario De Vinto

LLLLDLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
22/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	3-4	5	5	L
14/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
10/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
06/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	7	6	L
31/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	13	2	D
27/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-4	1	0	L
09/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-4	6	6	L
02/06	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Universitario De Vinto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia de Balompie Boliviano win (55%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 55%, draw 24%, Universitario De Vinto 22%.

How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2.04 · Universitario De Vinto 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.