Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 05/09, 21:00

Prediction: Guabira vs Real Potosi

Team pages: Guabira · Real Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Guabira1.73

Real Potosi1.06

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Guabira Draw Real Potosi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Guabira 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWDL

Real Potosi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWWDDL

Head-to-head

Guabira 4–2 Real Potosi (6 last)

Real Potosi3-0Guabira
Real Potosi1-3Guabira
Guabira3-0Real Potosi
Guabira4-0Real Potosi
Real Potosi0-1Guabira
Real Potosi1-0Guabira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guabira 1518 · Real Potosi 1552

	Guabira	Draw	Real Potosi
Our model	52%	26%	22%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guabira: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guabira	Real Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	2.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.8	4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:53 +7’	1.75	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guabira 4–0–2 Real Potosi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Potosi	3-0 HT 2-0	Guabira
05/12/21 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	1-3 HT 0-3	Guabira
09/08/21 Bolivia Apertura	Guabira	3-0 HT 1-0	Real Potosi
31/12/20 Bolivia Apertura	Guabira	4-0 HT 2-0	Real Potosi
27/11/20 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	0-1 HT 0-1	Guabira
30/11/19 Bolivia Clausura	Real Potosi	1-0 HT 0-0	Guabira

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
2	Always Ready	17	10	6	1	35	12	36
3	The Strongest	17	9	6	2	29	20	33
4	Oriente Petrolero	17	8	3	6	32	23	27
5	Real Potosi	17	6	7	4	22	12	25
6	Independiente Petrolero	17	7	4	6	25	25	25
7	Guabira	17	7	4	6	28	31	25
8	Club Aurora	17	5	9	3	25	24	24
9	Blooming	17	5	8	4	22	18	23
10	Nacional Potosi	17	6	3	8	25	23	21
11	Real Oruro	17	5	3	9	30	43	18
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	17	5	2	10	27	37	17
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	17	5	2	10	18	35	17
14	Real Tomayapo	17	4	4	9	13	32	16
15	GV San Jose	17	2	8	7	19	27	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	17	4	2	11	22	35	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guabira	Real Potosi
Independiente Petrolero	1-3 L	2-1 W
Blooming	1-1 D	2-0 W
Real Tomayapo	3-0 W	0-1 L
Universitario De Vinto	1-1 D	2-0 W
Bolivar	0-4 L	1-2 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-1 W	5-0 W
Nacional Potosi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guabira

WWLWDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
23/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
15/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
07/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
05/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	15	8	W
31/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
25/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	5	W
18/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
29/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
18/05	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	5	10	W

Real Potosi

DWWLDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
22/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
06/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
16/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
12/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guabira vs Real Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guabira win (52%). Probabilities: Guabira 52%, draw 25%, Real Potosi 23%.

How many goals are expected in Guabira vs Real Potosi?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Guabira 1.73 · Real Potosi 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Guabira vs Real Potosi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.