Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 05/09, 23:15

Prediction: Club Aurora vs GV San Jose

Team pages: Club Aurora · GV San Jose

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Club Aurora2.09

GV San Jose0.99

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Club Aurora Draw GV San Jose

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Aurora 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDLLDD

GV San Jose 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWDDLLDD

Head-to-head

Club Aurora 0–4–2 GV San Jose (6 last)

GV San Jose1-1Club Aurora
Club Aurora2-4GV San Jose
GV San Jose1-1Club Aurora
GV San Jose4-1Club Aurora
GV San Jose1-1Club Aurora
Club Aurora2-2GV San Jose

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Aurora 1486 · GV San Jose 1499

	Club Aurora	Draw	GV San Jose
Our model	62%	22%	16%
Market	62%	22%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GV San Jose: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Aurora	GV San Jose
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	1.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.7	5.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:10 +1’	1.50	4.20	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aurora 0–4–2 GV San Jose

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	1-1 HT 0-1	Club Aurora
18/03/26 America Friendlies	Club Aurora	2-4 HT 1-3	GV San Jose
11/03/26 America Friendlies	GV San Jose	1-1 HT 1-0	Club Aurora
21/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	4-1 HT 1-0	Club Aurora
09/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	GV San Jose	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Aurora
26/06/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Club Aurora	2-2 HT 1-1	GV San Jose

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
2	Always Ready	17	10	6	1	35	12	36
3	The Strongest	17	9	6	2	29	20	33
4	Oriente Petrolero	17	8	3	6	32	23	27
5	Real Potosi	17	6	7	4	22	12	25
6	Independiente Petrolero	17	7	4	6	25	25	25
7	Guabira	17	7	4	6	28	31	25
8	Club Aurora	17	5	9	3	25	24	24
9	Blooming	17	5	8	4	22	18	23
10	Nacional Potosi	17	6	3	8	25	23	21
11	Real Oruro	17	5	3	9	30	43	18
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	17	5	2	10	27	37	17
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	17	5	2	10	18	35	17
14	Real Tomayapo	17	4	4	9	13	32	16
15	GV San Jose	17	2	8	7	19	27	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	17	4	2	11	22	35	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Aurora	GV San Jose
Always Ready	2-2 D	2-3 L
Real Potosi	0-0 D	0-0 D
Blooming	0-3 L	1-1 D
Independiente Petrolero	1-1 D	0-1 L
The Strongest	1-1 D	0-0 D
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	3-2 W	2-2 D
Oriente Petrolero	2-2 D	3-3 D
Universitario De Vinto	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	1 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Aurora (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Aurora

WLDWDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
22/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	9	9	L
09/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-4	6	6	L
05/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	12	6	D
31/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
25/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	3	10	W
19/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
10/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
02/06	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	7	W

GV San Jose

LDDWDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	2	9	D
22/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
17/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
05/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
02/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
19/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
15/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
11/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	5	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Aurora vs GV San Jose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aurora win (62%). Probabilities: Club Aurora 62%, draw 22%, GV San Jose 16%.

How many goals are expected in Club Aurora vs GV San Jose?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Club Aurora 2.09 · GV San Jose 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Aurora vs GV San Jose?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.