Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 07/09, 00:00

Prediction: The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo

Team pages: The Strongest · Real Tomayapo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

The Strongest2.32

Real Tomayapo0.57

1X2

77% 16% 8%

The Strongest Draw Real Tomayapo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

The Strongest 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWLLWW

Real Tomayapo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLWDW

Head-to-head

The Strongest 3–2–1 Real Tomayapo (6 last)

Real Tomayapo0-0The Strongest
Real Tomayapo1-0The Strongest
Real Tomayapo3-3The Strongest
The Strongest6-0Real Tomayapo
The Strongest5-0Real Tomayapo
The Strongest2-0Real Tomayapo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Strongest 1515 · Real Tomayapo 1499

	The Strongest	Draw	Real Tomayapo
Our model	76%	17%	7%
Market	78%	14%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours The Strongest: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	The Strongest	Real Tomayapo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.50

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.88

2 (+2)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:19 +4’	1.18	6.50	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 3–2–1 Real Tomayapo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	0-0 HT 0-0	The Strongest
12/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	1-0 HT 1-0	The Strongest
27/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Tomayapo	3-3 HT 2-1	The Strongest
12/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	6-0 HT 2-0	Real Tomayapo
01/05/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	5-0 HT 2-0	Real Tomayapo
11/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	The Strongest	2-0 HT 0-0	Real Tomayapo

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
2	Always Ready	17	10	6	1	35	12	36
3	The Strongest	17	9	6	2	29	20	33
4	Oriente Petrolero	17	8	3	6	32	23	27
5	Real Potosi	17	6	7	4	22	12	25
6	Independiente Petrolero	17	7	4	6	25	25	25
7	Guabira	17	7	4	6	28	31	25
8	Club Aurora	17	5	9	3	25	24	24
9	Blooming	17	5	8	4	22	18	23
10	Nacional Potosi	17	6	3	8	25	23	21
11	Real Oruro	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	18	6	2	10	29	37	20
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	18	5	2	11	18	37	17
14	Real Tomayapo	17	4	4	9	13	32	16
15	GV San Jose	17	2	8	7	19	27	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	18	4	2	12	22	37	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	The Strongest	Real Tomayapo
Universitario De Vinto	4-3 W	1-0 W
Guabira	1-3 L	0-3 L
Independiente Petrolero	1-2 L	2-1 W
Nacional Potosi	3-2 W	1-4 L
Blooming	1-1 D	0-1 L
GV San Jose	0-0 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: The Strongest (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Strongest

DWDDDWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
22/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	4-3	3	5	W
15/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
06/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	3-2	1	4	W
31/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
16/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
12/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Real Tomayapo

LWLLDLLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
24/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
14/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
08/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
05/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
01/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
27/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	2	3	L
20/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
13/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
08/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (77%). Probabilities: The Strongest 77%, draw 16%, Real Tomayapo 8%.

How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo?

The model expects 2.89 goals (The Strongest 2.32 · Real Tomayapo 0.57), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.