Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/09, 02:00

Prediction: Real Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero

Team pages: Real Potosi · Oriente Petrolero

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Real Potosi1.78

Oriente Petrolero0.94

1X2

57% 24% 19%

Real Potosi Draw Oriente Petrolero

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Potosi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWDDLD

Oriente Petrolero 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWWWDL

Head-to-head

Real Potosi 1–1–4 Oriente Petrolero (6 last)

Oriente Petrolero2-0Real Potosi
Real Potosi2-1Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-0Real Potosi
Oriente Petrolero2-0Real Potosi
Real Potosi2-2Oriente Petrolero
Real Potosi0-1Oriente Petrolero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Potosi 1516 · Oriente Petrolero 1554

	Real Potosi	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
Our model	56%	25%	18%
Market	57%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Oriente Petrolero: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Potosi	Oriente Petrolero
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.6	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.5	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:59 +11’	1.61	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Potosi 1–1–4 Oriente Petrolero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	2-0 HT 0-0	Real Potosi
19/10/21 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	2-1 HT 2-0	Oriente Petrolero
10/05/21 Bolivia Apertura	Oriente Petrolero	2-0 HT 1-0	Real Potosi
21/12/20 Bolivia Apertura	Oriente Petrolero	2-0 HT 2-0	Real Potosi
05/03/20 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	2-2 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
06/10/19 Bolivia Clausura	Real Potosi	0-1 HT 0-0	Oriente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Always Ready	18	11	6	1	37	13	39
3	The Strongest	18	10	6	2	32	21	36
4	Oriente Petrolero	18	8	3	7	33	25	27
5	Club Aurora	18	6	9	3	28	24	27
6	Real Potosi	18	6	8	4	23	13	26
7	Guabira	18	7	5	6	29	32	26
8	Independiente Petrolero	18	7	4	7	25	29	25
9	Nacional Potosi	18	7	3	8	27	24	24
10	Blooming	18	5	8	5	23	20	23
11	Real Oruro	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	18	6	2	10	29	37	20
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	18	5	2	11	18	37	17
14	Real Tomayapo	18	4	4	10	14	35	16
15	GV San Jose	18	2	8	8	19	30	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	18	4	2	12	22	37	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Potosi	Oriente Petrolero
Club Aurora	0-0 D	2-2 D
Always Ready	1-1 D	1-2 L
Universitario De Vinto	2-0 W	5-0 W
GV San Jose	0-0 D	3-3 D
Bolivar	1-2 L	1-2 L
Independiente Petrolero	2-1 W	2-1 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Potosi

WWLDWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
27/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
22/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
06/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
16/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W

Oriente Petrolero

LDWWLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	10	6	L
25/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	4	9	D
22/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
15/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
10/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
06/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
19/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
16/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Potosi win (57%). Probabilities: Real Potosi 57%, draw 24%, Oriente Petrolero 19%.

How many goals are expected in Real Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Real Potosi 1.78 · Oriente Petrolero 0.94), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.