Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 06/09, 01:30

Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs Always Ready

Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · Always Ready

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Oriente Petrolero1.3

Always Ready1.66

1X2

29% 25% 45%

Oriente Petrolero Draw Always Ready

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Oriente Petrolero 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLWWWD

Always Ready 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWDDD

Head-to-head

Oriente Petrolero 2–4 Always Ready (6 last)

Always Ready1-0Oriente Petrolero
Always Ready2-0Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero1-2Always Ready
Oriente Petrolero2-1Always Ready
Always Ready2-3Oriente Petrolero
Always Ready4-1Oriente Petrolero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1534 · Always Ready 1601

	Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Always Ready
Our model	29%	26%	45%
Market	30%	25%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Always Ready (rating 1534 vs 1601).
H2H favours Always Ready: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oriente Petrolero	Always Ready
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	2.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.70

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +2’	3.10	3.70	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 2–0–4 Always Ready

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	1-0 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
22/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	2-0 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
14/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	1-2 HT 0-1	Always Ready
11/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	Oriente Petrolero	2-1 HT 1-1	Always Ready
17/08/24 Bolivia Clausura	Always Ready	2-3 HT 2-1	Oriente Petrolero
02/12/23 Bolivia Clausura	Always Ready	4-1 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
2	Always Ready	17	10	6	1	35	12	36
3	The Strongest	17	9	6	2	29	20	33
4	Oriente Petrolero	17	8	3	6	32	23	27
5	Real Potosi	17	6	7	4	22	12	25
6	Independiente Petrolero	17	7	4	6	25	25	25
7	Guabira	17	7	4	6	28	31	25
8	Club Aurora	17	5	9	3	25	24	24
9	Blooming	17	5	8	4	22	18	23
10	Nacional Potosi	17	6	3	8	25	23	21
11	Real Oruro	17	5	3	9	30	43	18
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	17	5	2	10	27	37	17
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	17	5	2	10	18	35	17
14	Real Tomayapo	17	4	4	9	13	32	16
15	GV San Jose	17	2	8	7	19	27	14
16	Universitario De Vinto	17	4	2	11	22	35	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oriente Petrolero	Always Ready
GV San Jose	3-3 D	3-2 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4-0 W	3-1 W
Real Oruro	3-2 W	6-0 W
Universitario De Vinto	5-0 W	4-0 W
Bolivar	1-2 L	1-0 W
Club Aurora	2-2 D	2-2 D
Blooming	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Always Ready (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oriente Petrolero

LLDWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	4	9	D
22/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
15/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
10/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
06/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
19/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
16/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
31/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	8	L

Always Ready

WWWWWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-2	0	7	D
24/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
16/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
07/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
02/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
25/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
18/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	4-0	9	0	W
15/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	6-0	5	4	W
30/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	8	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs Always Ready?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Always Ready win (45%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 29%, draw 25%, Always Ready 45%.

How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs Always Ready?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Oriente Petrolero 1.3 · Always Ready 1.66), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Always Ready?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.