Football · China Division 2 · 08/08, 13:30

Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Team pages: Xiamen Feilu · Guangzhou Dandelion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Xiamen Feilu1.54

Guangzhou Dandelion0.86

1X2

52% 28% 20%

Xiamen Feilu Draw Guangzhou Dandelion

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Xiamen Feilu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWDDLLL

Guangzhou Dandelion 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLDL

Head-to-head

Xiamen Feilu 1–0 Guangzhou Dandelion (1 last)

Guangzhou Dandelion1-3Xiamen Feilu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiamen Feilu 1472 · Guangzhou Dandelion 1418

	Xiamen Feilu	Draw	Guangzhou Dandelion
Our model	52%	28%	20%
Market	52%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xiamen Feilu (rating 1472 vs 1418).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Xiamen Feilu	Guangzhou Dandelion
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +4’	1.73	3.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiamen Feilu 1–0–0 Guangzhou Dandelion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 China Division 2	Guangzhou Dandelion	1-3 HT 0-0	Xiamen Feilu

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	19	13	1	5	29	13	40
2	Shenzhen 2028	19	9	6	4	30	23	33
3	Hubei Istar	19	8	7	4	26	19	31
4	Jiangxi Lushan	19	8	5	6	22	17	29
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	19	6	8	5	18	19	26
6	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	19	5	10	4	19	25	25
7	Xiamen Feilu	19	6	7	6	27	26	25
8	Guangdong Mingtu	19	4	10	5	19	19	22
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	19	5	5	9	19	27	20
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	19	4	6	9	15	21	18
11	Wenzhou FC	19	3	8	8	12	22	17
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	19	3	7	9	16	21	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Xiamen Feilu	Guangzhou Dandelion
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-5 L	0-0 D
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-2 L	1-4 L
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1-2 L	1-1 D
Ganzhou Ruishi	0-0 D	2-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	0-0 D	1-3 L
Guangdong Mingtu	2-1 W	1-2 L
Hubei Istar	0-0 D	2-3 L
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-1 L	0-2 L
Wenzhou FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Jiangxi Lushan	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Xiamen Feilu (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiamen Feilu

WLLDWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-2	1-5	7	0	L
29/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-2	9	3	L
26/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
18/07	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
05/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
23/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
19/06	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
27/05	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	1	W

Guangzhou Dandelion

WLLDLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-4	5	3	L
25/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
18/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
12/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
04/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
28/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
24/06	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	2-3	5	2	L
14/06	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
27/05	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	2-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (52%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 52%, draw 28%, Guangzhou Dandelion 20%.

How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.54 · Guangzhou Dandelion 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.