Football · China Division 2 · 16/08, 13:30
Prediction: Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Team pages: Guangdong Mingtu · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Guangdong Mingtu1.1
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.89
1X2
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Guangdong Mingtu
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guangdong Mingtu
1–1–1
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
(3 last)
- Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0-1Guangdong Mingtu
- Guangdong Mingtu2-3Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
- Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0-0Guangdong Mingtu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guangdong Mingtu 1532 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1467
| Guangdong Mingtu | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong Mingtu (rating 1532 vs 1467).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangdong Mingtu | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong Mingtu 1–1–1 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 China Division 2 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Guangdong Mingtu |
| 01/07/25 China Division 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
| 26/04/25 China Division 2 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guangdong Mingtu |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 17 | 40 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 36 |
| 3 | Jiangxi Lushan | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 32 |
| 4 | Hubei Istar | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 28 | 28 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 26 |
| 7 | Xiamen Feilu | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
| 8 | Guangdong Mingtu | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | Wenzhou FC | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 18 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 16 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangdong Mingtu | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Wenzhou FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Hubei Istar | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Xiamen Feilu | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 6 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Guangdong Mingtu (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong Mingtu win (40%). Probabilities: Guangdong Mingtu 40%, draw 31%, Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 29%.
How many goals are expected in Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Guangdong Mingtu 1.1 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.89), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.