Football · China Division 2 · 16/08, 13:30
Prediction: Hubei Istar vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Team pages: Hubei Istar · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Hubei Istar1.58
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.98
1X2
Hubei Istar
Draw
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hubei Istar
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hubei Istar
2–1–2
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
(5 last)
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue1-0Hubei Istar
- Hubei Istar1-1Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0-3Hubei Istar
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue3-2Hubei Istar
- Hubei Istar2-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hubei Istar 1489 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1545
| Hubei Istar | Draw | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (rating 1489 vs 1545).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hubei Istar | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hubei Istar 2–1–2 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hubei Istar |
| 01/07/25 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
| 26/04/25 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Hubei Istar |
| 08/06/24 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Hubei Istar |
| 30/03/24 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 17 | 40 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 36 |
| 3 | Jiangxi Lushan | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 32 |
| 4 | Hubei Istar | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 28 | 28 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 26 |
| 7 | Xiamen Feilu | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
| 8 | Guangdong Mingtu | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | Wenzhou FC | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 18 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 16 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hubei Istar | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Wenzhou FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Xiamen Feilu | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hubei Istar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 26/07 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hubei Istar vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hubei Istar win (50%). Probabilities: Hubei Istar 50%, draw 28%, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 22%.
How many goals are expected in Hubei Istar vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Hubei Istar 1.58 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.98), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hubei Istar vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.