Prediction: Jiangxi Lushan vs Xiamen Feilu
Team pages: Jiangxi Lushan · Xiamen Feilu
- Xiamen Feilu2-0Jiangxi Lushan
| Jiangxi Lushan | Draw | Xiamen Feilu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiangxi Lushan (rating 1510 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jiangxi Lushan | Xiamen Feilu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiangxi Lushan 0–0–1 Xiamen Feilu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 China Division 2 | Xiamen Feilu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Jiangxi Lushan |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 17 | 40 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 36 |
| 3 | Jiangxi Lushan | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 32 |
| 4 | Hubei Istar | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 28 | 28 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 26 |
| 7 | Xiamen Feilu | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
| 8 | Guangdong Mingtu | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | Wenzhou FC | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 18 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 16 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jiangxi Lushan | Xiamen Feilu |
|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Hubei Istar | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Wenzhou FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Jiangxi Lushan (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Henan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Xiamen Feilu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiangxi Lushan vs Xiamen Feilu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jiangxi Lushan win (50%). Probabilities: Jiangxi Lushan 50%, draw 29%, Xiamen Feilu 21%.
How many goals are expected in Jiangxi Lushan vs Xiamen Feilu?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Jiangxi Lushan 1.25 · Xiamen Feilu 0.7), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jiangxi Lushan vs Xiamen Feilu?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.