Football · China Division 2 · 16/08, 13:30

Prediction: Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Team pages: Ganzhou Ruishi · Guangzhou Dandelion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Ganzhou Ruishi1.28

Guangzhou Dandelion0.97

1X2

43% 30% 27%

Ganzhou Ruishi Draw Guangzhou Dandelion

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ganzhou Ruishi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDDLDL

Guangzhou Dandelion 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDLDLD

Head-to-head

Ganzhou Ruishi 0–1–2 Guangzhou Dandelion (3 last)

Guangzhou Dandelion2-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Guangzhou Dandelion1-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi0-0Guangzhou Dandelion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ganzhou Ruishi 1483 · Guangzhou Dandelion 1419

	Ganzhou Ruishi	Draw	Guangzhou Dandelion
Our model	42%	31%	27%
Market	43%	30%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ganzhou Ruishi (rating 1483 vs 1419).
H2H favours Guangzhou Dandelion: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ganzhou Ruishi	Guangzhou Dandelion
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	0.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.4 / 2.1	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:20 +13’	2.10	3.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ganzhou Ruishi 0–1–2 Guangzhou Dandelion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 China Division 2	Guangzhou Dandelion	2-0 HT 2-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
03/08/25 China Division 2	Guangzhou Dandelion	1-0 HT 0-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
25/05/25 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	0-0 HT 0-0	Guangzhou Dandelion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	20	13	1	6	32	17	40
2	Shenzhen 2028	20	10	6	4	36	23	36
3	Jiangxi Lushan	20	9	5	6	24	17	32
4	Hubei Istar	20	8	7	5	28	22	31
5	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	20	6	10	4	23	28	28
6	Ganzhou Ruishi	20	6	8	6	18	25	26
7	Xiamen Feilu	20	6	8	6	27	26	26
8	Guangdong Mingtu	20	4	11	5	19	19	23
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	20	5	6	9	19	27	21
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	20	5	6	9	18	23	21
11	Wenzhou FC	20	3	9	8	12	22	18
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	20	3	7	10	16	23	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ganzhou Ruishi	Guangzhou Dandelion
Shenzhen 2028	0-6 L	1-3 L
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1-1 D	1-1 D
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-3 L	0-2 L
Xiamen Feilu	0-0 D	0-0 D
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1-1 D	0-0 D
Hubei Istar	4-4 D	2-3 L
Wenzhou FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Jiangxi Lushan	1-0 W	0-2 L
Guangdong Mingtu	0-2 L	1-2 L
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 3 L	0 W 4 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Ganzhou Ruishi (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ganzhou Ruishi

WLWWDDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-2	0-6	4	2	L
01/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
18/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
11/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
04/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	4-4	2	0	D
28/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
24/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
19/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
14/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	5	W

Guangzhou Dandelion

LLDLLDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
02/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-4	5	3	L
25/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
18/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
12/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
04/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
28/06	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
24/06	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	2-3	5	2	L
14/06	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ganzhou Ruishi win (43%). Probabilities: Ganzhou Ruishi 43%, draw 30%, Guangzhou Dandelion 27%.

How many goals are expected in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Ganzhou Ruishi 1.28 · Guangzhou Dandelion 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guangzhou Dandelion?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.