Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 09/08, 20:00

Prediction: EC Vitoria (W) vs Internacional (W)

Team pages: EC Vitoria (W) · Internacional (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
EC Vitoria (W)0.71
Internacional (W)1.86
1X2
14% 22% 65%
EC Vitoria (W) Draw Internacional (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
EC Vitoria (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDLWLDLWLL
Internacional (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLDWWL
Head-to-head
EC Vitoria (W) 2–1 Internacional (W) (3 last)
  • EC Vitoria (W)0-3Internacional (W)
  • Internacional (W)0-3EC Vitoria (W)
  • Internacional (W)1-2EC Vitoria (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Vitoria (W) 1443 · Internacional (W) 1532
EC Vitoria (W)DrawInternacional (W)
Our model12%24%64%
Market14%20%66%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional (W) (rating 1443 vs 1532).
  • H2H favours EC Vitoria (W): 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EC Vitoria (W)Internacional (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.21 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.72.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.23.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Vitoria (W) 201 Internacional (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/09/20
Brazil Serie A1 Women
EC Vitoria (W)0-3
HT 0-1
Internacional (W)
12/05/19
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Internacional (W)0-3
HT 0-2
EC Vitoria (W)
30/06/18
Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women
Internacional (W)1-2
HT 1-1
EC Vitoria (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 141112 361334
2 Sao Paulo (W) 141022 241032
3 Palmeiras (W) 14941 291131
4 Bahia (W) 15834 271827
5 Ferroviaria (W) 14752 201226
6 Cruzeiro (W) 14662 281624
7 Internacional (W) 14725 151223
8 Flamengo (W) 14653 211623
9 Gremio (W) 14635 201421
10 Bragantino (W) 14626 222220
11 Santos (W) 14554 171520
12 Fluminense RJ (W) 14545 161619
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 15348 142113
14 EC Juventude (W) 14248 71610
15 Mixto EC (W) 14167 8249
16 America MG (W) 141310 6276
17 EC Vitoria (W) 141310 10356
18 Botafogo (W) 141211 8305

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEC Vitoria (W)Internacional (W)
Botafogo (W) 2-0 W 1-0 W
Cruzeiro (W) 2-2 D 2-1 W
EC Juventude (W) 0-3 L 1-0 W
Flamengo (W) 1-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Vitoria (W)

LDLWLDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 1-3 18 L
26/07 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-4 13 L
17/07 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 43 W
28/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-1 1-3 27 L
24/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 2-2 28 D
19/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 32 L
14/05 CE Juventude Estancia (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
2-1 3-2 14 W
11/05 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-3 35 L
02/05 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 57 D
25/04 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-3 55 L

Internacional (W)

WWWWLLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-2 21 L
25/07 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 27 W
20/07 Coritiba (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 1-0 73 W
27/05 Gremio (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-0 43 D
23/05 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 81 L
16/05 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 0-3 67 L
11/05 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 21 W
01/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 3-0 34 W
26/04 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 43 W
22/04 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Vitoria (W) vs Internacional (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional (W) win (65%). Probabilities: EC Vitoria (W) 14%, draw 22%, Internacional (W) 65%.

How many goals are expected in EC Vitoria (W) vs Internacional (W)?

The model expects 2.57 goals (EC Vitoria (W) 0.71 · Internacional (W) 1.86), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Vitoria (W) vs Internacional (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.