Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 15/08, 23:00

Prediction: Mixto EC (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)

Team pages: Mixto EC (W) · Cruzeiro (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Mixto EC (W)0.72
Cruzeiro (W)1.87
1X2
13% 22% 64%
Mixto EC (W) Draw Cruzeiro (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Mixto EC (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLLDDW
Cruzeiro (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mixto EC (W) 1444 · Cruzeiro (W) 1513
Mixto EC (W)DrawCruzeiro (W)
Our model13%24%64%
Market14%21%65%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruzeiro (W) (rating 1444 vs 1513).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mixto EC (W)Cruzeiro (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.72.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 11.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 3.23.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.8 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 151212 401437
2 Sao Paulo (W) 151122 251035
3 Palmeiras (W) 15951 291132
4 Bahia (W) 15834 271827
5 Ferroviaria (W) 15762 201227
6 Gremio (W) 15735 221424
7 Internacional (W) 15735 171424
8 Cruzeiro (W) 15663 281824
9 Flamengo (W) 15663 221724
10 Fluminense RJ (W) 15645 181722
11 Bragantino (W) 15627 222320
12 Santos (W) 15555 181920
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 15348 142113
14 Mixto EC (W) 15267 92412
15 EC Juventude (W) 15249 71710
16 America MG (W) 151410 7287
17 EC Vitoria (W) 151410 12377
18 Botafogo (W) 151212 9325

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMixto EC (W)Cruzeiro (W)
EC Juventude (W) 1-0 W 0-0 D
Corinthians (W) 1-4 L 3-2 W
Gremio (W) 0-3 L 0-2 L
Fluminense RJ (W) 0-2 L 1-2 L
Bragantino (W) 1-3 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cruzeiro (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mixto EC (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-0 13 W
01/08 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 56 D
25/07 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 33 D
26/05 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 1-4 37 L
16/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 21 L
14/05 Sociedade Acao (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-1 56 L
09/05 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-1 54 D
01/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 12 L
26/04 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 43 L
21/04 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 1-3 30 L

Cruzeiro (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 210 L
01/08 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 4-0 51 W
25/07 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-2 54 L
21/07 Fluminense RJ (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-2 93 L
28/05 Doce Mel EC (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 5-0 71 W
24/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 2-2 68 D
19/05 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 3-2 63 W
09/05 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 4-0 80 W
01/05 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 85 D
26/04 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 2-2 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mixto EC (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruzeiro (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Mixto EC (W) 13%, draw 22%, Cruzeiro (W) 64%.

How many goals are expected in Mixto EC (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Mixto EC (W) 0.72 · Cruzeiro (W) 1.87), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mixto EC (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.