Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 16/08, 00:00

Prediction: Internacional (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)

Team pages: Internacional (W) · Ferroviaria (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Internacional (W)0.91

Ferroviaria (W)1.26

1X2

26% 30% 44%

Internacional (W) Draw Ferroviaria (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Internacional (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Ferroviaria (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWWDD

Head-to-head

Internacional (W) 0–2–4 Ferroviaria (W) (6 last)

Internacional (W)0-2Ferroviaria (W)
Ferroviaria (W)2-1Internacional (W)
Ferroviaria (W)2-0Internacional (W)
Internacional (W)1-1Ferroviaria (W)
Internacional (W)1-1Ferroviaria (W)
Ferroviaria (W)3-0Internacional (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional (W) 1508 · Ferroviaria (W) 1600

	Internacional (W)	Draw	Ferroviaria (W)
Our model	26%	31%	43%
Market	27%	29%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferroviaria (W) (rating 1508 vs 1600).
H2H favours Ferroviaria (W): 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Internacional (W)	Ferroviaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.10

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 4.10 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.17
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:06 +11’	3.30	3.10	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:20	4.10	3.17	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional (W) 0–2–4 Ferroviaria (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/25 Copa do Brazil Women	Internacional (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Ferroviaria (W)
20/04/25 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Ferroviaria (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Internacional (W)
28/08/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Ferroviaria (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Internacional (W)
25/08/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Internacional (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Ferroviaria (W)
27/06/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Internacional (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Ferroviaria (W)
25/06/23 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Ferroviaria (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Internacional (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Corinthians (W)	15	12	1	2	40	14	37
2	Sao Paulo (W)	15	11	2	2	25	10	35
3	Palmeiras (W)	15	9	5	1	29	11	32
4	Bahia (W)	15	8	3	4	27	18	27
5	Ferroviaria (W)	15	7	6	2	20	12	27
6	Gremio (W)	15	7	3	5	22	14	24
7	Internacional (W)	15	7	3	5	17	14	24
8	Cruzeiro (W)	15	6	6	3	28	18	24
9	Flamengo (W)	15	6	6	3	22	17	24
10	Fluminense RJ (W)	15	6	4	5	18	17	22
11	Bragantino (W)	15	6	2	7	22	23	20
12	Santos (W)	15	5	5	5	18	19	20
13	Atletico Mineiro (W)	15	3	4	8	14	21	13
14	Mixto EC (W)	15	2	6	7	9	24	12
15	EC Juventude (W)	15	2	4	9	7	17	10
16	America MG (W)	15	1	4	10	7	28	7
17	EC Vitoria (W)	15	1	4	10	12	37	7
18	Botafogo (W)	15	1	2	12	9	32	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Internacional (W)	Ferroviaria (W)
Palmeiras (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Bahia (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
EC Juventude (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Internacional (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	2-2	2-2	8	6	D
02/08	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
25/07	Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
20/07	Coritiba (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/05	Gremio (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
23/05	Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
16/05	Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-3	0-3	6	7	L
11/05	Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
01/05	Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
26/04	EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Ferroviaria (W)

WWWLWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
08/08	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-0	6	9	D
02/08	Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
30/07	Taubate (W) Brazil Paulista Women	2-2	4-2	13	1	W
26/07	EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
21/07	Corinthians (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
18/07	Corinthians (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
28/05	UD Alagoana (W) Copa do Brazil Women	5-0	8-0	15	3	W
24/05	Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-1	3-2	6	6	W
21/05	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-1	2-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferroviaria (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Internacional (W) 26%, draw 30%, Ferroviaria (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Internacional (W) 0.91 · Ferroviaria (W) 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.