Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 09/08, 22:00

Prediction: Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello

Team pages: Zamora · Academia Puerto Cabello

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Zamora1.08

Academia Puerto Cabello1.21

1X2

31% 31% 37%

Zamora Draw Academia Puerto Cabello

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDDWWL

Academia Puerto Cabello 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Zamora 0–1–5 Academia Puerto Cabello (6 last)

Academia Puerto Cabello2-0Zamora
Academia Puerto Cabello3-0Zamora
Academia Puerto Cabello3-0Zamora
Zamora0-2Academia Puerto Cabello
Academia Puerto Cabello1-0Zamora
Academia Puerto Cabello0-0Zamora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora 1496 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1532

	Zamora	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
Our model	31%	31%	38%
Market	31%	32%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Academia Puerto Cabello: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora	Academia Puerto Cabello
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.80

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.73

2 (-0.25)2.08

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:01 +17’	2.90	2.80	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora 0–1–5 Academia Puerto Cabello

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	2-0 HT 0-0	Zamora
26/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	3-0 HT 2-0	Zamora
26/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	3-0 HT 2-0	Zamora
17/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Zamora	0-2 HT 0-1	Academia Puerto Cabello
14/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Puerto Cabello	1-0 HT 1-0	Zamora
08/07/24 Venezuela Cup	Academia Puerto Cabello	0-0 HT 0-0	Zamora

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metropolitanos FC	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2	Estudiantes Merida	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
3	Academia Puerto Cabello	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
4	Carabobo	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
5	Academia Anzoategui FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Deportivo Tachira	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Deportivo La Guaira	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
8	Trujillanos	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
8	Zamora	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	Portuguesa	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	UCV	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
12	Caracas	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
13	Monagas	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
14	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	2	0	0	2	1	3	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora	Academia Puerto Cabello
Caracas	1-1 D	3-1 W
Metropolitanos FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Portuguesa	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zamora

LLWWDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
02/08	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-1	9	1	W
24/06	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Cup	4-1	6-1	7	5	W
25/04	Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
20/04	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
12/04	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
04/04	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
22/03	Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	3-0	3	9	W
18/03	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	0-2	10	9	L
16/03	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-2	2	5	L

Academia Puerto Cabello

LWLDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
03/08	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
08/06	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
31/05	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	2-0	6	8	W
28/05	Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
24/05	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
22/05	Juventud De Las Piedras Copa Sudamericana	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
17/05	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
14/05	Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
10/05	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	1-3	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Academia Puerto Cabello win (37%). Probabilities: Zamora 31%, draw 31%, Academia Puerto Cabello 37%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Zamora 1.08 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.