Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 16/08, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas
Team pages: Deportivo Tachira · Monagas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Deportivo Tachira1.73
Monagas0.68
1X2
Deportivo Tachira
Draw
Monagas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Tachira
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Monagas
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Tachira
3–1–2
Monagas
(6 last)
- Monagas2-3Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira0-1Monagas
- Monagas1-0Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira2-1Monagas
- Monagas1-4Deportivo Tachira
- Monagas0-0Deportivo Tachira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Tachira 1577 · Monagas 1501
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Monagas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1577 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Tachira | Monagas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Tachira 3–1–2 Monagas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 04/09/25 Venezuela Cup | Deportivo Tachira | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Monagas |
| 20/08/25 Venezuela Cup | Monagas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 14/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Monagas |
| 31/01/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 15/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Monagas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Monagas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | UCV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Caracas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Tachira | Monagas |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Carabobo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Metropolitanos FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Tachira (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
Monagas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/06 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/03 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 19/03 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Tachira win (62%). Probabilities: Deportivo Tachira 62%, draw 24%, Monagas 14%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Deportivo Tachira 1.73 · Monagas 0.68), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.