Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 16/08, 01:30
Prediction: Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Team pages: Academia Puerto Cabello · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Academia Puerto Cabello1.8
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.49
1X2
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Puerto Cabello
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Puerto Cabello
2–1–3
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
(6 last)
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-1Academia Puerto Cabello
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello1-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano3-2Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello3-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1-0Academia Puerto Cabello
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Puerto Cabello 1527 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1464
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 23% | 9% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Puerto Cabello (rating 1527 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Deportivo Rayo Zuliano: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Puerto Cabello 2–1–3 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 17/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 10/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 20/08/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 04/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 07/10/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Monagas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | UCV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Caracas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Puerto Cabello | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
|---|---|---|
| Zamora | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Caracas | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Metropolitanos FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Portuguesa | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Puerto Cabello
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/06 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 28/05 | Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Juventud De Las Piedras Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 06/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Trujillanos Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Puerto Cabello win (70%). Probabilities: Academia Puerto Cabello 70%, draw 20%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 10%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello 1.8 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.49), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.