Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 17/08, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora
Team pages: Deportivo La Guaira · Zamora
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Deportivo La Guaira1.5
Zamora0.7
1X2
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw
Zamora
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo La Guaira
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Zamora
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo La Guaira
2–3–1
Zamora
(6 last)
- Zamora1-1Deportivo La Guaira
- Zamora2-0Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira1-1Zamora
- Deportivo La Guaira2-0Zamora
- Zamora1-2Deportivo La Guaira
- Zamora0-0Deportivo La Guaira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo La Guaira 1498 · Zamora 1503
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Zamora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 16% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo La Guaira: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo La Guaira | Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo La Guaira 2–3–1 Zamora
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 05/11/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 22/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Zamora |
| 05/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Zamora |
| 25/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 23/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Monagas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | UCV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Caracas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo La Guaira | Zamora |
|---|---|---|
| Caracas | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Metropolitanos FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Monagas | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Portuguesa | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo La Guaira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 06/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 22/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Cup |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo La Guaira win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo La Guaira 56%, draw 27%, Zamora 17%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Deportivo La Guaira 1.5 · Zamora 0.7), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.