Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 16/08, 01:00
Prediction: Portuguesa vs Trujillanos
Team pages: Portuguesa · Trujillanos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Portuguesa1.75
Trujillanos1
1X2
Portuguesa
Draw
Trujillanos
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Portuguesa
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Trujillanos
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portuguesa
4–1–1
Trujillanos
(6 last)
- Trujillanos2-2Portuguesa
- Trujillanos1-2Portuguesa
- Portuguesa1-0Trujillanos
- Trujillanos0-2Portuguesa
- Portuguesa5-0Trujillanos
- Trujillanos1-0Portuguesa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portuguesa 1543 · Trujillanos 1416
| Portuguesa | Draw | Trujillanos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portuguesa (rating 1543 vs 1416).
- H2H favours Portuguesa: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portuguesa | Trujillanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3.3 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portuguesa 4–1–1 Trujillanos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Portuguesa |
| 09/10/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Portuguesa |
| 23/08/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 04/07/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Portuguesa |
| 14/05/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Trujillanos |
| 08/03/20 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Portuguesa |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Monagas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | UCV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Caracas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portuguesa | Trujillanos |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Tachira | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Carabobo | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| UCV | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Portuguesa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portuguesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Trujillanos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 18/03 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portuguesa vs Trujillanos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portuguesa win (54%). Probabilities: Portuguesa 54%, draw 25%, Trujillanos 21%.
How many goals are expected in Portuguesa vs Trujillanos?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Portuguesa 1.75 · Trujillanos 1), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Portuguesa vs Trujillanos?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.