Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 17/08, 00:00
Prediction: Carabobo vs Metropolitanos FC
Team pages: Carabobo · Metropolitanos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Carabobo1.56
Metropolitanos FC0.78
1X2
Carabobo
Draw
Metropolitanos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Carabobo
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Metropolitanos FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carabobo
3–3–0
Metropolitanos FC
(6 last)
- Metropolitanos FC1-5Carabobo
- Carabobo0-0Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC1-1Carabobo
- Metropolitanos FC0-4Carabobo
- Carabobo1-0Metropolitanos FC
- Carabobo0-0Metropolitanos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carabobo 1553 · Metropolitanos FC 1551
| Carabobo | Draw | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 17% |
| Market | 55% | 27% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Carabobo: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carabobo | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carabobo 3–3–0 Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-5 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 04/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 20/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Carabobo |
| 06/11/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Carabobo |
| 22/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 03/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Monagas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | UCV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Caracas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carabobo | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Tachira | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Estudiantes Merida | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Carabobo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carabobo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 08/06 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 28/05 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | Blooming Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 14/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 27/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carabobo vs Metropolitanos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Carabobo win (55%). Probabilities: Carabobo 55%, draw 27%, Metropolitanos FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Carabobo vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Carabobo 1.56 · Metropolitanos FC 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Carabobo vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.