Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 10/08, 21:30
Prediction: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes Merida
Team pages: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano · Estudiantes Merida
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1.09
Estudiantes Merida1.12
1X2
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Draw
Estudiantes Merida
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Estudiantes Merida
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
3–3
Estudiantes Merida
(6 last)
- Estudiantes Merida1-2Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-1Estudiantes Merida
- Estudiantes Merida1-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Estudiantes Merida3-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-1Estudiantes Merida
- Estudiantes Merida2-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1441 · Estudiantes Merida 1468
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Draw | Estudiantes Merida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 32% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Estudiantes Merida | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 3–0–3 Estudiantes Merida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Estudiantes Merida | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 02/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Estudiantes Merida |
| 21/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Estudiantes Merida | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 15/01/25 America Friendlies | Estudiantes Merida | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 19/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Estudiantes Merida |
| 19/04/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Estudiantes Merida | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Merida | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Deportivo Tachira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Trujillanos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Zamora | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Portuguesa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Monagas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | UCV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Caracas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Estudiantes Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Zamora | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Caracas | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Monagas | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo Tachira | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Carabobo | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Estudiantes Merida (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Trujillanos Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
Estudiantes Merida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 04/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 14/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes Merida?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Estudiantes Merida win (35%). Probabilities: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 34%, draw 31%, Estudiantes Merida 35%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes Merida?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1.09 · Estudiantes Merida 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes Merida?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.