Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 10/08, 00:30
Prediction: Metropolitanos FC vs UCV
Team pages: Metropolitanos FC · UCV
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Metropolitanos FC1.57
UCV1.28
1X2
Metropolitanos FC
Draw
UCV
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Metropolitanos FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
UCV
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metropolitanos FC
2–2–2
UCV
(6 last)
- UCV3-2Metropolitanos FC
- UCV1-4Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC0-1UCV
- Metropolitanos FC0-0UCV
- Metropolitanos FC5-2UCV
- UCV0-0Metropolitanos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Metropolitanos FC 1562 · UCV 1457
| Metropolitanos FC | Draw | UCV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metropolitanos FC (rating 1562 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metropolitanos FC | UCV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.6 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metropolitanos FC 2–2–2 UCV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | UCV | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 23/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | UCV | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 13/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | UCV |
| 24/07/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UCV |
| 19/05/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 5-2 HT 2-0 | UCV |
| 01/05/24 Venezuela Primera Division | UCV | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Merida | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Deportivo Tachira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Guaira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Trujillanos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Zamora | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Portuguesa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | UCV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Caracas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Monagas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Metropolitanos FC | UCV |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 27/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
UCV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 29/07 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 28/05 | Libertad Asuncion Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Rosario Central Copa Libertadores |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Metropolitanos FC win (42%). Probabilities: Metropolitanos FC 42%, draw 28%, UCV 30%.
How many goals are expected in Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Metropolitanos FC 1.57 · UCV 1.28), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Metropolitanos FC vs UCV?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.