Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 09/08, 21:30

Prediction: Academia Anzoategui FC vs Portuguesa

Team pages: Academia Anzoategui FC · Portuguesa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Academia Anzoategui FC1.21

Portuguesa1.21

1X2

35% 30% 35%

Academia Anzoategui FC Draw Portuguesa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Academia Anzoategui FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWLDWW

Portuguesa 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Academia Anzoategui FC 1–3–1 Portuguesa (5 last)

Portuguesa0-3Academia Anzoategui FC
Portuguesa3-1Academia Anzoategui FC
Academia Anzoategui FC1-1Portuguesa
Portuguesa0-0Academia Anzoategui FC
Academia Anzoategui FC0-0Portuguesa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia Anzoategui FC 1493 · Portuguesa 1523

	Academia Anzoategui FC	Draw	Portuguesa
Our model	35%	30%	35%
Market	35%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia Anzoategui FC	Portuguesa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 4.1	0.4 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.2	6.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:58 +1’	2.55	3.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Anzoategui FC 1–3–1 Portuguesa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division	Portuguesa	0-3 HT 0-2	Academia Anzoategui FC
23/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Portuguesa	3-1 HT 1-0	Academia Anzoategui FC
22/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Anzoategui FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Portuguesa
17/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Portuguesa	0-0 HT 0-0	Academia Anzoategui FC
15/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division	Academia Anzoategui FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Portuguesa

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metropolitanos FC	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2	Estudiantes Merida	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
3	Academia Puerto Cabello	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
4	Carabobo	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
5	Academia Anzoategui FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Deportivo Tachira	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Deportivo La Guaira	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
8	Trujillanos	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
8	Zamora	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	Portuguesa	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	UCV	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
12	Caracas	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
13	Monagas	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
14	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano	2	0	0	2	1	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia Anzoategui FC	Portuguesa
Carabobo	3-6 L	1-0 W
UCV	2-3 L	3-2 W
Deportivo La Guaira	0-0 D	0-2 L
Academia Puerto Cabello	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Portuguesa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Academia Anzoategui FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
24/06	Atletico Avila Venezuela Cup	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
25/04	Zamora Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	10	D
21/04	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	1-2	3-6	1	6	L
13/04	Caracas Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-1	7	6	W
03/04	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-1	2-3	7	8	L
24/03	Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
17/03	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
15/03	Monagas Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
08/03	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-1	9	9	L

Portuguesa

DWDDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
31/07	Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
30/05	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-2	3	9	W
24/05	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-2	0-2	6	9	L
17/05	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
14/05	Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division	1-2	1-2	4	7	L
09/05	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
03/05	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
25/04	UCV Venezuela Primera Division	2-0	3-0	2	6	W
21/04	Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division	0-0	0-0	0	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Portuguesa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Anzoategui FC win (35%). Probabilities: Academia Anzoategui FC 35%, draw 30%, Portuguesa 35%.

How many goals are expected in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Portuguesa?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Academia Anzoategui FC 1.21 · Portuguesa 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Portuguesa?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.