Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 09/08, 22:00
Prediction: Trujillanos vs Deportivo Tachira
Team pages: Trujillanos · Deportivo Tachira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Trujillanos0.66
Deportivo Tachira1.49
1X2
Trujillanos
Draw
Deportivo Tachira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trujillanos
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Tachira
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trujillanos
1–1–4
Deportivo Tachira
(6 last)
- Deportivo Tachira0-0Trujillanos
- Trujillanos0-7Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira3-0Trujillanos
- Trujillanos0-3Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira2-0Trujillanos
- Trujillanos3-1Deportivo Tachira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trujillanos 1417 · Deportivo Tachira 1576
| Trujillanos | Draw | Deportivo Tachira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 29% | 56% |
| Market | 16% | 26% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1417 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trujillanos | Deportivo Tachira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trujillanos 1–1–4 Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 04/10/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 0-7 HT 0-3 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 15/08/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Trujillanos |
| 26/06/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 09/05/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Trujillanos |
| 28/07/19 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Merida | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Deportivo Tachira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Guaira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Trujillanos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Zamora | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Portuguesa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | UCV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Caracas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Monagas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trujillanos | Deportivo Tachira |
|---|---|---|
| Carabobo | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| UCV | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Estudiantes Merida | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Tachira (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trujillanos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 18/03 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/03 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 20/04 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Tachira?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Tachira win (57%). Probabilities: Trujillanos 16%, draw 27%, Deportivo Tachira 57%.
How many goals are expected in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Tachira?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Trujillanos 0.66 · Deportivo Tachira 1.49), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Tachira?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.