Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Team pages: FC Arlanda · Piteå IF

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
FC Arlanda2.13
Piteå IF1.01
1X2
62% 22% 16%
FC Arlanda Draw Piteå IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Arlanda 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWWWWL
Piteå IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWDDWLLDLL
Head-to-head
FC Arlanda 1–0 Piteå IF (1 last)
  • Piteå IF1-2FC Arlanda
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Arlanda 1566 · Piteå IF 1438
FC ArlandaDrawPiteå IF
Our model62%22%16%
Market62%21%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Arlanda (rating 1566 vs 1438).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.11.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.60.6 / 1.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.12.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arlanda 100 Piteå IF

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Sweden 1.div Norra
Piteå IF1-2
HT 0-1
FC Arlanda

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hammarby TFF 151122 431235
2 IF Karlstad Fotboll 151032 241033
3 FC Stockholm Internazionale 15933 321430
4 FC Arlanda 15852 241529
5 Enkopings SK 16916 272628
6 FBK Karlstad 15735 232224
7 AFC Eskilstuna 15645 242422
8 Karlbergs BK 16637 262521
9 Assyriska Föreningen 15456 242917
10 Gefle IF 15528 192917
11 Umeå FC 15447 202516
12 Vasalunds IF 15447 213116
13 FC Järfälla 15438 213115
14 Sollentuna United FF 15285 132014
15 Piteå IF 152310 16349
16 IFK Stocksund 15159 28388

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC ArlandaPiteå IF
IFK Stocksund 1-0 W 3-2 W
Gefle IF 2-3 L 0-2 L
FBK Karlstad 0-0 D 1-5 L
AFC Eskilstuna 0-0 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Arlanda (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Arlanda

DDLWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Hammarby TFF
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-1 1-5 15 L
25/07 IFK Haninge
Club Friendly List
2-1 6-1 91 W
27/06 IF Karlstad Fotboll
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 1-0 06 W
23/06 FC Järfälla
Sweden Cup
1-0 2-0 66 W
18/06 IFK Stocksund
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 1-0 27 W
13/06 FC Järfälla
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-1 3-2 64 W
07/06 Assyriska Föreningen
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-0 2-0 55 W
01/06 Gefle IF
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 2-3 83 L
23/05 FBK Karlstad
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 0-0 50 D
18/05 AFC Eskilstuna
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 0-0 41 D

Piteå IF

LWDDWLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Gefle IF
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-1 0-2 12 L
24/06 Karlbergs BK
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-2 1-3 44 L
21/06 AFC Eskilstuna
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-1 2-2 22 D
12/06 Umeå FC
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-2 0-2 11 L
07/06 Enkopings SK
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-1 0-2 03 L
03/06 Ostra Ersboda FC
Sweden Cup Qualification
1-1 3-2 W
31/05 FC Stockholm Internazionale
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-2 2-2 03 D
24/05 Sollentuna United FF
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-0 2-2 25 D
17/05 IFK Stocksund
Sweden 1.div Norra
2-2 3-2 32 W
14/05 FBK Karlstad
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-2 1-5 02 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Arlanda win (62%). Probabilities: FC Arlanda 62%, draw 22%, Piteå IF 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF?

The model expects 3.14 goals (FC Arlanda 2.13 · Piteå IF 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.