Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 16/08, 16:00

Prediction: FBK Karlstad vs Enkopings SK

Team pages: FBK Karlstad · Enkopings SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

FBK Karlstad1.7

Enkopings SK1.2

1X2

48% 26% 26%

FBK Karlstad Draw Enkopings SK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FBK Karlstad 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLWLWLLD

Enkopings SK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWLLW

Head-to-head

FBK Karlstad 2–3 Enkopings SK (5 last)

Enkopings SK2-1FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad2-1Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK3-1FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad4-2Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK4-1FBK Karlstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FBK Karlstad 1476 · Enkopings SK 1526

	FBK Karlstad	Draw	Enkopings SK
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enkopings SK (rating 1476 vs 1526).
H2H favours Enkopings SK: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FBK Karlstad	Enkopings SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.2	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.85▼	Pinn 1.93 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.70
2	2.88 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:41 +7’	2.10	3.50	2.88
15:32 +5’	1.85▼	3.60▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +1’	1.87	3.75	3.44
19:09 +12’	1.93▲	3.70▼	3.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FBK Karlstad 2–0–3 Enkopings SK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Enkopings SK	2-1 HT 0-0	FBK Karlstad
07/02/26 Club Friendly List	FBK Karlstad	2-1 HT 2-0	Enkopings SK
01/03/25 Club Friendly List	Enkopings SK	3-1 HT 3-1	FBK Karlstad
23/11/24 Sweden Div 1 Qualification	FBK Karlstad	4-2 HT 2-2	Enkopings SK
16/11/24 Sweden Div 1 Qualification	Enkopings SK	4-1 HT 2-1	FBK Karlstad

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	17	11	3	3	44	14	36
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	16	11	3	2	28	11	36
3	FC Stockholm Internazionale	16	9	3	4	32	16	30
4	FC Arlanda	16	8	6	2	24	15	30
5	AFC Eskilstuna	17	8	4	5	28	25	28
6	Enkopings SK	16	9	1	6	27	26	28
7	FBK Karlstad	16	7	4	5	24	23	25
8	Karlbergs BK	16	6	3	7	26	25	21
9	Assyriska Föreningen	16	5	5	6	27	29	20
10	Vasalunds IF	16	5	4	7	23	31	19
11	Gefle IF	16	5	2	9	19	34	17
12	Umeå FC	16	4	4	8	21	28	16
13	FC Järfälla	16	4	3	9	22	35	15
14	Sollentuna United FF	16	2	8	6	13	23	14
15	IFK Stocksund	16	2	5	9	33	38	11
16	Piteå IF	16	2	4	10	16	34	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FBK Karlstad	Enkopings SK
Hammarby TFF	1-1 D	0-1 L
Assyriska Föreningen	0-2 L	2-4 L
Sollentuna United FF	2-0 W	1-0 W
FC Stockholm Internazionale	1-3 L	0-2 L
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-3 L	1-2 L
Karlbergs BK	1-1 D	2-1 W
Umeå FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FBK Karlstad

DDDLWLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
01/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
26/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-7	11	1	L
18/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
14/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
09/06	IK Sturehov Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
31/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
23/05	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
17/05	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	11	3	D

Enkopings SK

WLLWDWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	1	1	W
02/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	1	2	L
27/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
17/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden Cup	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
07/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
02/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	2-4	4	4	L
23/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
17/05	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FBK Karlstad vs Enkopings SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FBK Karlstad win (48%). Probabilities: FBK Karlstad 48%, draw 26%, Enkopings SK 26%.

How many goals are expected in FBK Karlstad vs Enkopings SK?

The model expects 2.9 goals (FBK Karlstad 1.7 · Enkopings SK 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FBK Karlstad vs Enkopings SK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.