Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: IF Karlstad Fotboll vs Assyriska Föreningen
Team pages: IF Karlstad Fotboll · Assyriska Föreningen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
IF Karlstad Fotboll2.05
Assyriska Föreningen1.07
1X2
IF Karlstad Fotboll
Draw
Assyriska Föreningen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IF Karlstad Fotboll
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Assyriska Föreningen
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Karlstad Fotboll
1–3–1
Assyriska Föreningen
(5 last)
- Assyriska Föreningen2-2IF Karlstad Fotboll
- Assyriska Föreningen2-0IF Karlstad Fotboll
- IF Karlstad Fotboll1-1Assyriska Föreningen
- Assyriska Föreningen0-3IF Karlstad Fotboll
- IF Karlstad Fotboll2-2Assyriska Föreningen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1582 · Assyriska Föreningen 1514
| IF Karlstad Fotboll | Draw | Assyriska Föreningen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Karlstad Fotboll (rating 1582 vs 1514).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Karlstad Fotboll | Assyriska Föreningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1–3–1 Assyriska Föreningen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra | Assyriska Föreningen | 2-2 HT 1-1 | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
| 07/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | Assyriska Föreningen | 2-0 HT 1-0 | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
| 05/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Assyriska Föreningen |
| 19/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | Assyriska Föreningen | 0-3 HT 0-2 | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
| 16/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Assyriska Föreningen |
Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby TFF | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 13 | 36 |
| 2 | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 36 |
| 3 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Arlanda | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | Enkopings SK | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 28 |
| 6 | AFC Eskilstuna | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Karlbergs BK | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 9 | Assyriska Föreningen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Vasalunds IF | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 19 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 17 |
| 12 | Umeå FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Järfälla | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 15 |
| 14 | Sollentuna United FF | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | IFK Stocksund | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 11 |
| 16 | Piteå IF | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Karlstad Fotboll | Assyriska Föreningen |
|---|---|---|
| Enkopings SK | 2-1 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Arlanda | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Gefle IF | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FBK Karlstad | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Sollentuna United FF | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Assyriska Föreningen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Karlstad Fotboll
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Örebro Syrianska IF Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Assyriska Föreningen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Vasalunds IF Sweden Cup Qualification |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs Assyriska Föreningen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Karlstad Fotboll win (59%). Probabilities: IF Karlstad Fotboll 59%, draw 22%, Assyriska Föreningen 19%.
How many goals are expected in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs Assyriska Föreningen?
The model expects 3.12 goals (IF Karlstad Fotboll 2.05 · Assyriska Föreningen 1.07), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs Assyriska Föreningen?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.