Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 16/08, 12:30
Prediction: Piteå IF vs Vasalunds IF
Team pages: Piteå IF · Vasalunds IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Piteå IF1.32
Vasalunds IF1.9
1X2
Piteå IF
Draw
Vasalunds IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Piteå IF
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Vasalunds IF
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Piteå IF
3–3
Vasalunds IF
(6 last)
- Vasalunds IF1-2Piteå IF
- Vasalunds IF0-1Piteå IF
- Piteå IF0-1Vasalunds IF
- Piteå IF2-0Vasalunds IF
- Vasalunds IF2-1Piteå IF
- Vasalunds IF6-3Piteå IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Piteå IF 1477 · Vasalunds IF 1487
| Piteå IF | Draw | Vasalunds IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Piteå IF | Vasalunds IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Piteå IF 3–0–3 Vasalunds IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra | Vasalunds IF | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Piteå IF |
| 03/11/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | Vasalunds IF | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Piteå IF |
| 09/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra | Piteå IF | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Vasalunds IF |
| 22/10/23 Sweden 1.div Norra | Piteå IF | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Vasalunds IF |
| 15/04/23 Sweden 1.div Norra | Vasalunds IF | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Piteå IF |
| 02/10/22 Sweden 1.div Norra | Vasalunds IF | 6-3 HT 3-2 | Piteå IF |
Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby TFF | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14 | 36 |
| 2 | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 36 |
| 3 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Arlanda | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | AFC Eskilstuna | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 28 |
| 6 | Enkopings SK | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 28 |
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Karlbergs BK | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 9 | Assyriska Föreningen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Vasalunds IF | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 19 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 17 |
| 12 | Umeå FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Järfälla | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 15 |
| 14 | Sollentuna United FF | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | IFK Stocksund | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 11 |
| 16 | Piteå IF | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Piteå IF | Vasalunds IF |
|---|---|---|
| Karlbergs BK | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| AFC Eskilstuna | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Enkopings SK | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Stockholm Internazionale | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Sollentuna United FF | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vasalunds IF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Piteå IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Ostra Ersboda FC Sweden Cup Qualification |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
Vasalunds IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/06 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden Cup Qualification |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Piteå IF vs Vasalunds IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vasalunds IF win (50%). Probabilities: Piteå IF 26%, draw 25%, Vasalunds IF 50%.
How many goals are expected in Piteå IF vs Vasalunds IF?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Piteå IF 1.32 · Vasalunds IF 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Piteå IF vs Vasalunds IF?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.