Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 16/08, 13:00

Prediction: FC Stockholm Internazionale vs FC Arlanda

Team pages: FC Stockholm Internazionale · FC Arlanda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

FC Stockholm Internazionale1.59

FC Arlanda0.89

1X2

54% 25% 21%

FC Stockholm Internazionale Draw FC Arlanda

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Stockholm Internazionale 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWWWWL

FC Arlanda 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWWLD

Head-to-head

FC Stockholm Internazionale 2–3–0 FC Arlanda (5 last)

FC Arlanda0-0FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale0-0FC Arlanda
FC Arlanda1-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale7-0FC Arlanda
FC Arlanda0-4FC Stockholm Internazionale

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1569 · FC Arlanda 1549

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Draw	FC Arlanda
Our model	52%	28%	20%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Stockholm Internazionale: 2-3-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	FC Arlanda
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.1	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.38▼	Pinn 1.47 ★
X	3.80 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	4.10 → 6.25▲	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:28 +8’	1.65	3.80	4.10
15:19 +6’	1.53▼	3.90▲	5.00▲
22:25 +29’	1.38▼	4.33▲	6.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +1’	1.56	4.04	4.86
22:54	1.47▼	4.28▲	5.66▲
18:31 +11’	1.47▲	4.25▼	5.64▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 3 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Stockholm Internazionale 2–3–0 FC Arlanda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Arlanda	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
30/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Arlanda
28/06/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Arlanda	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
06/11/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Stockholm Internazionale	7-0 HT 3-0	FC Arlanda
18/09/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Arlanda	0-4 HT 0-2	FC Stockholm Internazionale

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	17	11	3	3	44	14	36
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	16	11	3	2	28	11	36
3	FC Stockholm Internazionale	16	9	3	4	32	16	30
4	FC Arlanda	16	8	6	2	24	15	30
5	AFC Eskilstuna	17	8	4	5	28	25	28
6	Enkopings SK	16	9	1	6	27	26	28
7	FBK Karlstad	16	7	4	5	24	23	25
8	Karlbergs BK	16	6	3	7	26	25	21
9	Assyriska Föreningen	16	5	5	6	27	29	20
10	Vasalunds IF	16	5	4	7	23	31	19
11	Gefle IF	16	5	2	9	19	34	17
12	Umeå FC	16	4	4	8	21	28	16
13	FC Järfälla	16	4	3	9	22	35	15
14	Sollentuna United FF	16	2	8	6	13	23	14
15	IFK Stocksund	16	2	5	9	33	38	11
16	Piteå IF	16	2	4	10	16	34	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Stockholm Internazionale	FC Arlanda
FC Järfälla	4-0 W	2-0 W
Gefle IF	2-0 W	2-3 L
FBK Karlstad	3-1 W	0-0 D
IFK Stocksund	1-0 W	1-0 W
Piteå IF	2-2 D	0-0 D
Hammarby TFF	1-3 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Stockholm Internazionale (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Stockholm Internazionale

LWDWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	9	4	L
01/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
27/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
18/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
14/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	5	1	W
08/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	4-1	5	3	W
04/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
31/05	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-2	6	3	D
23/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
16/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-3	5	3	L

FC Arlanda

DLWWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
03/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-5	1	5	L
25/07	IFK Haninge Club Friendly List	2-1	6-1	9	1	W
27/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	0	6	W
23/06	FC Järfälla Sweden Cup	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
18/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
13/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-2	6	4	W
07/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
01/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-3	8	3	L
23/05	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	5	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs FC Arlanda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Stockholm Internazionale win (54%). Probabilities: FC Stockholm Internazionale 54%, draw 25%, FC Arlanda 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs FC Arlanda?

The model expects 2.48 goals (FC Stockholm Internazionale 1.59 · FC Arlanda 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs FC Arlanda?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.