Prediction: Santa Claus vs Hercules II
Team pages: Hercules II
- Hercules II9-0Santa Claus
- Hercules II1-3Santa Claus
| Santa Claus | Draw | Hercules II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 22% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hercules II (rating 1416 vs 1477).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santa Claus | Hercules II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 3.9 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 3.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 43/14/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Claus 1–0–1 Hercules II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/18 Finland Kolmonen | Hercules II | 9-0 HT 3-0 | Santa Claus |
| 01/07/17 Finland Kolmonen | Hercules II | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Santa Claus |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, North Group
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kajha | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | HauPa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Villan Pojat | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | KePS | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | KaPa Kajaani | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | RoPo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 13 |
| 7 | Ajax Sarkkiranta | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Hercules-J | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 11 |
| 9 | Santa Claus | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 6 |
| 10 | PonPa | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Claus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | KaPa Kajaani Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | PonPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Hercules-J Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/04 | OLS Finland Cup |
1-4 | 1-9 | 0 | 2 | L |
Hercules II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/03 | CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Claus vs Hercules II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hercules II win (44%). Probabilities: Santa Claus 34%, draw 22%, Hercules II 44%.
How many goals are expected in Santa Claus vs Hercules II?
The model expects 4 goals (Santa Claus 1.88 · Hercules II 2.13), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Santa Claus vs Hercules II?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.