Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Lauttasaari vs FC Kontu

Team pages: PPJ/Lauttasaari · FC Kontu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.45Total

PPJ/Lauttasaari3.14

FC Kontu1.31

1X2

73% 14% 13%

PPJ/Lauttasaari Draw FC Kontu

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Lauttasaari 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWDLD

FC Kontu 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWLWD

Head-to-head

PPJ/Lauttasaari 0–2–0 FC Kontu (2 last)

FC Kontu0-0PPJ/Lauttasaari
FC Kontu2-2PPJ/Lauttasaari

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Lauttasaari 1534 · FC Kontu 1472

	PPJ/Lauttasaari	Draw	FC Kontu
Our model	73%	15%	12%
Market	73%	14%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.45 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PPJ/Lauttasaari (rating 1534 vs 1472).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Lauttasaari	FC Kontu
Goals for / against (FT)	3.5 / 1.6	1.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/0/44%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.1	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.22

X6.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:41 +23’	1.22	6.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Lauttasaari 0–2–0 FC Kontu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kontu	0-0 HT 0-0	PPJ/Lauttasaari
02/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kontu	2-2 HT 1-0	PPJ/Lauttasaari

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	13	9	2	2	33	13	29
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	14	7	5	2	47	21	26
4	Valtti	13	7	1	5	26	25	22
5	VJS Vantaa II	14	6	2	6	47	26	20
6	LPS Helsinki	12	6	1	5	31	28	19
7	Atlantis FC/PM	14	5	2	7	32	53	17
8	Tips Vantaa	13	5	1	7	28	35	16
9	HPS II	14	4	3	7	35	38	15
10	Töölön Taisto	13	2	8	3	24	26	14
11	FC Kontu	14	3	5	6	25	34	14
12	PPS	14	2	0	12	14	53	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Lauttasaari	FC Kontu
ToTe	1-1 D	2-7 L
LPS Helsinki	0-1 L	3-4 L
HPS II	3-3 D	3-2 W
Atlantis FC/PM	6-2 W	2-3 L
PPS	9-0 W	4-3 W
Tips Vantaa	1-2 L	0-2 L
VJS Vantaa II	2-2 D	1-0 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	4-0 W	1-1 D
Valtti	7-3 W	0-1 L
Töölön Taisto	2-2 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Lauttasaari (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Lauttasaari

DWWDLWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/07	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
26/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-3	3-3	9	3	D
30/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-2	7	0	W
26/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	3-0	9-0	5	2	W
12/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
07/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
29/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	1	5	W
21/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	3-1	7-3	8	4	W
15/05	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	6	5	D

FC Kontu

LLDLWLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	1	2	W
23/07	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
02/07	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-3	14	4	W
26/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-3	3-4	5	1	L
12/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
05/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	8	7	L
28/05	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	3-3	6	4	D
21/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-4	2-7	2	2	L
15/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs FC Kontu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PPJ/Lauttasaari win (73%). Probabilities: PPJ/Lauttasaari 73%, draw 14%, FC Kontu 13%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs FC Kontu?

The model expects 4.45 goals (PPJ/Lauttasaari 3.14 · FC Kontu 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs FC Kontu?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.