Football · Finland Kolmonen · 15/08, 13:30

Prediction: Ylojarvi United vs Tampere Utd II

Team pages: Ylojarvi United · Tampere Utd II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Ylojarvi United1.56

Tampere Utd II1.56

1X2

38% 24% 38%

Ylojarvi United Draw Tampere Utd II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ylojarvi United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWWWDL

Tampere Utd II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWLDDW

Head-to-head

Ylojarvi United 0–2–3 Tampere Utd II (5 last)

Tampere Utd II1-0Ylojarvi United
Ylojarvi United1-1Tampere Utd II
Tampere Utd II3-2Ylojarvi United
Tampere Utd II1-0Ylojarvi United
Ylojarvi United2-2Tampere Utd II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ylojarvi United 1502 · Tampere Utd II 1545

	Ylojarvi United	Draw	Tampere Utd II
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	39%	23%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd II (rating 1502 vs 1545).
H2H favours Tampere Utd II: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ylojarvi United	Tampere Utd II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/14/29%	50/13/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 4.9	2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X4.00

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:59 +8’	2.35	4.00	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ylojarvi United 0–2–3 Tampere Utd II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	1-0	Ylojarvi United
20/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	Ylojarvi United	1-1 HT 0-0	Tampere Utd II
14/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	3-2 HT 1-1	Ylojarvi United
11/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	1-0 HT 1-0	Ylojarvi United
11/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	Ylojarvi United	2-2 HT 1-0	Tampere Utd II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	15	14	1	0	57	12	43
2	TPV II	15	11	1	3	36	18	34
3	NoPS	15	10	2	3	44	17	32
4	Tampere Utd II	14	9	3	2	26	14	30
5	Ylojarvi United	14	7	2	5	29	23	23
6	FC LeKi	14	6	2	6	31	27	20
7	TP-T	14	5	2	7	33	30	17
8	FC Haka Juniors	15	5	1	9	28	39	16
9	Saaksjærven Loiske	15	4	2	9	18	36	14
10	Fish United	15	3	2	10	19	42	11
11	ACE	15	3	1	11	28	43	10
12	TP-49	15	1	1	13	16	64	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ylojarvi United	Tampere Utd II
NoPS	1-4 L	0-0 D
FC LeKi	1-1 D	2-1 W
TP-49	5-0 W	2-0 W
Fish United	4-0 W	2-0 W
TP-T	1-3 L	2-0 W
Saaksjærven Loiske	0-4 L	2-0 W
FC Haka Juniors	4-2 W	2-2 D
FC Lasten	0-4 L	1-1 D
TPV II	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd II (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ylojarvi United

DLWLLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
01/08	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
25/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
02/07	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-0	9	5	W
25/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
11/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
05/06	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	–	0-4	–	–	L
28/05	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-2	4	2	W
21/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	4	5	L
14/05	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	4	4	D

Tampere Utd II

WWWDLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
28/07	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
25/07	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
04/07	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-3	5	6	L
27/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	6	L
12/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
06/06	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
27/05	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ylojarvi United vs Tampere Utd II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ylojarvi United win (38%). Probabilities: Ylojarvi United 38%, draw 24%, Tampere Utd II 38%.

How many goals are expected in Ylojarvi United vs Tampere Utd II?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Ylojarvi United 1.56 · Tampere Utd II 1.56), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ylojarvi United vs Tampere Utd II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.