Prediction: HaPK vs Kumu
- Kumu1-5HaPK
| HaPK | Draw | Kumu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 84% | 9% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HaPK (rating 1533 vs 1395).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HaPK | Kumu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/17/33% | 25/0/75% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.8 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HaPK 1–0–0 Kumu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | Kumu | 1-5 | HaPK |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PeKa | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | IPS Edustus | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 21 | 33 |
| 3 | Kultsu FC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 18 | 32 |
| 4 | MiPK | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 20 | 29 |
| 5 | HaPK | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 25 |
| 6 | MP II | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 21 |
| 7 | KJP | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | KoPa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 20 |
| 9 | LAUTP | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 34 | 18 |
| 10 | Edustus STPS | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 11 |
| 11 | Kumu | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 49 | 8 |
| 12 | LAUTP II | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 52 | 4 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HaPK | Kumu |
|---|---|---|
| Kultsu FC | 3-5 L | 0-5 L |
| KoPa | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| KJP | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| MP II | 1-4 L | 2-6 L |
| IPS Edustus | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| LAUTP | 5-2 W | 2-6 L |
| PeKa | 2-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Edustus STPS | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| MiPK | 4-3 W | 1-5 L |
| LAUTP II | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: HaPK (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HaPK
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
4-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Kumu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/06 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HaPK vs Kumu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HaPK win (80%). Probabilities: HaPK 80%, draw 11%, Kumu 8%.
How many goals are expected in HaPK vs Kumu?
The model expects 4.53 goals (HaPK 3.26 · Kumu 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HaPK vs Kumu?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.