Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 08/08, 07:30
Prediction: University NSW vs Sydney Olympic
Team pages: University NSW · Sydney Olympic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
University NSW1.85
Sydney Olympic1.28
1X2
University NSW
Draw
Sydney Olympic
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
University NSW
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Sydney Olympic
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
University NSW
0–1
Sydney Olympic
(1 last)
- Sydney Olympic2-1University NSW
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · University NSW 1472 · Sydney Olympic 1456
| University NSW | Draw | Sydney Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| University NSW | Sydney Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · University NSW 0–0–1 Sydney Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney Olympic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | University NSW |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apia L Tigers | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Marconi Stallions | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 46 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 18 | 54 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 33 | 42 |
| 5 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 37 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 38 | 36 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 44 | 35 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 51 | 40 | 35 |
| 9 | Manly Utd | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 35 |
| 10 | Blacktown City | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 34 |
| 11 | Wollongong Wolves | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | 32 |
| 12 | University NSW | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 31 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit FC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | 31 |
| 14 | St George City FA | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 31 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 25 | 48 | 20 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 57 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | University NSW | Sydney Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Apia L Tigers | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| NWS Spirit FC | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Sutherland Sharks | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| St George Saints | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| SD Raiders | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Wollongong Wolves | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney Olympic (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
University NSW
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Sydney Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/07 | Brisbane Roar Australia Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in University NSW vs Sydney Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a University NSW win (50%). Probabilities: University NSW 50%, draw 25%, Sydney Olympic 26%.
How many goals are expected in University NSW vs Sydney Olympic?
The model expects 3.13 goals (University NSW 1.85 · Sydney Olympic 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in University NSW vs Sydney Olympic?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.