Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 16/08, 07:00

Prediction: Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Wollongong Wolves

Team pages: Rockdale Ilinden FC · Wollongong Wolves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Rockdale Ilinden FC2.07

Wollongong Wolves1.21

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Rockdale Ilinden FC Draw Wollongong Wolves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rockdale Ilinden FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Wollongong Wolves 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rockdale Ilinden FC 4–2–0 Wollongong Wolves (6 last)

Wollongong Wolves2-2Rockdale Ilinden FC
Wollongong Wolves1-3Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC1-1Wollongong Wolves
Wollongong Wolves1-2Rockdale Ilinden FC
Wollongong Wolves0-2Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC3-1Wollongong Wolves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1509 · Wollongong Wolves 1393

	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Draw	Wollongong Wolves
Our model	56%	23%	21%
Market	56%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rockdale Ilinden FC (rating 1509 vs 1393).
H2H favours Rockdale Ilinden FC: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Wollongong Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.9	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.61▲	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.15 ★
2	4.75 → 4.33▼	Pinn 4.51

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:38 +6’	1.53	4.00	4.75
08:24 +43’	1.61▲	3.90▼	4.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:23 +1’	1.58	4.21	4.51
11:53	1.59▲	4.15▼	4.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rockdale Ilinden FC 4–2–0 Wollongong Wolves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	2-2 HT 2-0	Rockdale Ilinden FC
21/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	1-3 HT 0-2	Rockdale Ilinden FC
08/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Wollongong Wolves
04/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	1-2 HT 1-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC
21/05/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Wollongong Wolves	0-2 HT 0-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC
28/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	3-1 HT 3-1	Wollongong Wolves

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	27	19	4	4	59	32	61
2	Sydney United 58	27	18	3	6	39	19	57
3	Marconi Stallions	27	17	4	6	47	21	55
4	Sutherland Sharks	27	13	4	10	43	34	43
5	SD Raiders	27	11	5	11	41	44	38
6	Manly Utd	27	10	8	9	33	31	38
7	Rockdale Ilinden FC	27	11	4	12	42	40	37
8	Sydney FC U21	27	10	7	10	35	39	37
9	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	27	10	5	12	51	43	35
10	Blacktown City	27	9	7	11	42	42	34
11	NWS Spirit FC	27	10	4	13	31	37	34
12	St George City FA	27	9	7	11	25	40	34
13	Wollongong Wolves	27	9	5	13	30	38	32
14	University NSW	27	9	4	14	38	45	31
15	Sydney Olympic	27	6	4	17	30	58	22
16	St George Saints	27	6	3	18	25	48	21

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Wollongong Wolves
St George City FA	0-1 L	3-3 D
Sutherland Sharks	1-3 L	1-2 L
Sydney United 58	0-1 L	1-2 L
NWS Spirit FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Apia L Tigers	2-0 W	0-2 L
Sydney Olympic	4-0 W	2-3 L
SD Raiders	0-1 L	2-3 L
Blacktown City	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Rockdale Ilinden FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rockdale Ilinden FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	12	4	L
02/08	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
26/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
18/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-1	6-1	1	5	W
12/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
20/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
14/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
07/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

Wollongong Wolves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	9	3	L
01/08	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
26/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
18/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-1	2-3	3	8	L
11/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	1	0	L
05/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	3-3	8	0	D
27/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
07/06	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Wollongong Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rockdale Ilinden FC win (56%). Probabilities: Rockdale Ilinden FC 56%, draw 23%, Wollongong Wolves 21%.

How many goals are expected in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Wollongong Wolves?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Rockdale Ilinden FC 2.07 · Wollongong Wolves 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Wollongong Wolves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.