Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 16/08, 07:00
Prediction: Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks
Team pages: Marconi Stallions · Sutherland Sharks
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Marconi Stallions1.79
Sutherland Sharks0.97
1X2
Marconi Stallions
Draw
Sutherland Sharks
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Marconi Stallions
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sutherland Sharks
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marconi Stallions
4–2–0
Sutherland Sharks
(6 last)
- Sutherland Sharks2-4Marconi Stallions
- Marconi Stallions3-0Sutherland Sharks
- Sutherland Sharks0-2Marconi Stallions
- Marconi Stallions3-3Sutherland Sharks
- Sutherland Sharks1-2Marconi Stallions
- Sutherland Sharks0-0Marconi Stallions
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marconi Stallions 1513 · Sutherland Sharks 1531
| Marconi Stallions | Draw | Sutherland Sharks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marconi Stallions | Sutherland Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marconi Stallions 4–2–0 Sutherland Sharks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sutherland Sharks | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Marconi Stallions |
| 31/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 17/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sutherland Sharks | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Marconi Stallions |
| 22/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Sutherland Sharks |
| 16/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sutherland Sharks | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Marconi Stallions |
| 01/07/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sutherland Sharks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marconi Stallions |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apia L Tigers | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | Sydney United 58 | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 19 | 57 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 34 | 43 |
| 5 | SD Raiders | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 44 | 38 |
| 6 | Manly Utd | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 38 |
| 7 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 37 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U21 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 37 |
| 9 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 43 | 35 |
| 10 | Blacktown City | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 34 |
| 11 | NWS Spirit FC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 37 | 34 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 34 |
| 13 | Wollongong Wolves | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 32 |
| 14 | University NSW | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 45 | 31 |
| 15 | Sydney Olympic | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 58 | 22 |
| 16 | St George Saints | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 48 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marconi Stallions | Sutherland Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Manly Utd | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| St George Saints | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Blacktown City | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| University NSW | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Sydney FC U21 | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Wollongong Wolves | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marconi Stallions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 07/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Sutherland Sharks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marconi Stallions win (56%). Probabilities: Marconi Stallions 56%, draw 24%, Sutherland Sharks 20%.
How many goals are expected in Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Marconi Stallions 1.79 · Sutherland Sharks 0.97), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.